2020
Abatzoglou, J.T., B.J. Hatchett, P. Fox-Hughes, A.Gershunov, and N.J. Nauslar, 2020: Global climatology of downslope winds. International Journal of Climatology. DOI: 10.1002/joc.6607.
(Click here for link to article)
Aguilera, R., A. Gershunov, S.D. Ilango, J. Guzman Morales and T. Benmarhnia, 2019: Santa Ana winds of Southern California impact PM2.5 with and without smoke from wildfires. GeoHealth, 4, e2019GH000225. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GH000225.
(Click here for link to article)
Albano, C.M., M.D. Dettinger, and A.A. Harpold, 2020, Patterns and drivers of atmospheric river hydrologic variability across the western US, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 21, 17 p.,doi:10.1175/JHM-D-19-0119.1.
(Click here for link to article)
Albano, C. M., K.C. McGwire, M.B. Hausner, D. J. McEvoy, C. G. Morton, and J.L. Huntington, 2020, Drought Sensitivity and Trends of Riparian Vegetation Vigor in Nevada, USA (1985–2018). Remote Sensing, 12(9), 1362.
(Click here for link to article)
Cordeira, J., J. Stock, M.D. Dettinger, A. Young, J. Kalansky, and F.M. Ralph, 2019, A 142-yr climatology of northern California landslides and atmospheric rivers: Bulletin, American Meteorological Society, 100, 1499-1509, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0158.1.
(Click here for link to article)
Corringham, T. W., F.M. Ralph, A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan, and C.A. Talbot, 2019, Atmospheric rivers drive flood damages in the western United States. Science Advances, 5(12). doi:10.1126/sciadv.aax4631.
(Click here for link to article)
Feng, D., E. Beighley, R. Raoufi, J. Melack, Y. Zhao, S. Iacobellis, and D. Cayan, 2019, Propagation of future climate conditions into hydrologic response from coastal southern California watersheds, Climatic Change 153 (1-2), 199-218, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02371-3.
(Click here for link to article)
Fogarty, F.A., D.R. Cayan, L.L. DeHaan, E. Fleishman, 2020, Associations of breeding-bird abundance with climate vary among species and trait-based groups in southern California, PLOS ONE 15(3): e0230614, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0230614.
(Click here for link to article)
Gershunov, A., J. Guzman Morales, B. Hatchett, R. Aguilera, T. Shulgina, K. Guirguis, J. Abatzoglou, D. Cayan, D. Pierce, P. Williams, I. Small, R. Clemesha, L. Schwarz, T. Benmarhnia, A. Tardy, 2021: Hot and cold flavors of southern California’s Santa Ana winds: Their causes, trends, and links with wildfire.Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-021-05802-z
(Click here for link to article)
Goddard, L. and A. Gershunov, 2020, Impact of El Niño on weather and climate extremes. In El Niño Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate (eds M. J. McPhaden, A. Santoso, W. Cai), American Geophysical Union, In press.
(Click here for link to article)
Goodrich, J.P., D.R. Cayan, and D.W. Pierce, 2020, Climate and Land-Use Controls on Surface Water Diversions in the Central Valley, California, San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 18 (1), https://doi.org/10.15447/sfews.2020v18iss1art2.
(Click here for link to article)
Guzman Morales, J. and A. Gershunov, 2019, Climate change suppresses Santa Ana Winds of Southern California and sharpens their seasonality. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 2772–2780, DOI: 10.1029/2018GL080261.
(Click here for link to article)
Hatchett, B., Q. Cao, P. Dawson, C. Ellis, C. Hecht, B. Kawzenuk, J. Lancaster, T. Osborne, A. Wilson, M. Anderson, M.D. Dettinger, J. Kalansky, M. Kaplan, D. Lettenmaier, N. Oakley, F.M. Ralph, D. Reynolds, A. White, M. Sierks, and E. Sumargo, in review, Observation of an extreme atmospheric river storm with a diverse sensor network, Earth and Space Science, 30 p.
(Click here for link to article)
Nauslar, N., T.J. Brown, D.J. McEvoy, and N. Lareau, 2019, Record Setting 2018 California Wildfires [in “State of the Climate in 2018”], Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100 (9), S195-S196, doi:10.1175/2019BAMSStateoftheClimate.1
(Click here for link to article)
Lamjiri, M.A., F.M. Ralph, and M.D. Dettinger, 2020, Recent changes in United States extreme 3-day precipitation using the R-Cat scale: Journal of Hydrometeorology, 21(6), 12, D07-1221, DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-19-0171.1 .
(Click here for link to article)
Leibel S., M. Nguyen, W. Brick, J. Parker, S. Ilango, R. Aguilera, A. Gershunov, T. Benmarhnia, 2019, Increase in Pediatric Respiratory Visits Associated With Santa Ana Wind-driven Wildfire and PM 2.5 levels in San Diego County. Annals of the American Thoracic Society, doi: 10.1513/AnnalsATS.201902-150OC.
(Click here for link to article)
Kochanski, A. K., D.V. Mallia, , M.G. Fearon, J. Mandel, A.H. Souri, and T.J. Brown, 2019, Modeling wildfire smoke feedback mechanisms using a coupled fire‐atmosphere model with a radiatively active aerosol scheme, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124 (16), 9099-9116, doi: 10.1029/2019JD030558.
(Click here for link to article)
McElroy, S., L. Schwartz, H. Green, I. Corcos, K. Guirguis, A. Gershunov and T. Benmarhnia, 2020: Defining heat waves using sub-regional meteorological data to maximize benefits of early warning systems to population health. Science of the Total Environment, 721. DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.137678.
(Click here for link to article)
Myers, M.R., D.R. Cayan, S.F. Iacobellis, J.M. Melack, R.E. Beighley, P.L. Barnard, et al 2019, Santa Barbara area coastal ecosystem vulnerability assessment, California Sea Grant, https://caseagrant.ucsd.edu/project/santa-barbara-area-coastal-ecosystem-vulnerability-assessment-sba-ceva.
(Click here for link to article)
Myers, M.R., P.L. Barnard, E. Beighley, D.R. Cayan, J.E. Dugan, D. Feng, et al., 2019, A multidisciplinary coastal vulnerability assessment for local government focused on ecosystems, Santa Barbara area, California, Ocean & Coastal Management 182. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2019.104921.
(Click here for link to article)
Truettner, C., M.D. Dettinger, E. Ziaco, A.Z. Csank and F. Biondi, 2019, Seasonal analysis of the 2011-2017 North American Monsoon near its northwest boundary: Atmosphere, 10, 143-159, doi:10.3390/atmos10070420.
(Click here for link to article)
Sarfaraz, A., M. Gebremichael, L. Ruopu, J. Dozier, and D. P. Lettenmaier, Can Managed Aquifer Recharge mitigate the groundwater overdraft in California’s Central Valley?, Water Resources Research, in revision.
(Click here for link to article)
Schwartz L. B.J. Malig, J. Guzman Morales, K. Guirguis, A. Gershunov, R. Basu and T. Benmarhnia, 2020: The health burden of fall, winter and spring heat waves in Southern California and contribution of Santa Ana Winds. Environmental Research Letters. 15, 054017.
(Click here for link to article)
Scott, S., A. Westerling, M. Hurteau, M. Zachariah Peery, S. Thompson. 2020 Fire and climate change: Conserving seasonally dry forests is still possible, Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.2218.
(Click here for link to article)
VanderMolen, K., A.M. Meadow, A. Horangic, and T.U. Wall, 2020, Typologizing Stakeholder Information Use to Better Understand the Impacts of Collaborative Climate Science. Environmental Management, 65, 178-189, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-019-01237-9.
(Click here for link to article)
Williams A.P., J.T. Abatzoglou, A. Gershunov, J. Guzman Morales, D.A. Bishop and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2019: The link between anthropogenic climate change and wildfire in California. Earth’s Future, 7. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EF00121.
(Click here for link to article)
Williams, E., C. Funk, S. Shukla, and D. McEvoy, 2020, Quantifying Human-Induced Temperature Impacts on the 2018 United States Four Corners Hydrologic and Agro-Pastoral Drought. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101(1), S11-S16.
(Click here for link to article)
2019
Aguilera, R., A. Gershunov, and T. Benmarhnia, 2019, Atmospheric rivers impact California’s coastal water quality via extreme precipitation. Science of the Total Environment, 671, 488-494, doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.03.318.
(Click here for link to article)
Corringham, T.W. and D.R. Cayan, 2019, The Effect of El Niño on Flood Damages in the Western United States. Weather Climate and Society, 11, 489–504, doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-18-0071.1.
(Click here for link to article)
Gershunov, A., T.M. Shulgina, R.E.S. Clemesha, K. Guirguis, D.W. Pierce, M.D. Dettinger, D.A. Lavers, D.R. Cayan, S.D. Polade, J. Kalansky and F.M. Ralph, 2019, Precipitation regime change in Western North America: The role of Atmospheric Rivers. Nature Scientific Reports, 9:9944, DOI:10.1038/s41598-019-46169-w.
(Click here for link to article)
Guzman Morales, J. and A. Gershunov, 2019, Climate change suppresses Santa Ana Winds of Southern California and sharpens their seasonality, Geophysical Research Letters, doi: 10.1029/2018GL080261.
(Click here for link to article)
Lukashov, S.G., J.T Lancaster, N.S. Oakley, B.J. Swanson, 2019, Post-fire debris flows of 9 January 2018, Thomas Fire, southern California: Initiation areas,precipitation and impacts, In Seventh International Conference on Debris-Flow Hazards Mitigation, Association of Environmental and Engineering Geologists Special Publication 28, p. 774-781. ISBN: 978-0-578-51082-8.
(Click here for link to article)
McEvoy, D.J., M. Hobbins, T. J. Brown, K. VanderMolen, T. Wall, J. L. Huntington, and M. Svoboda, 2019, Establishing Relationships between Drought Indices and Wildfire Danger Outputs: A Test Case for the California-Nevada Drought Early Warning System, Climate, 7(4), 52; https://doi.org/10.3390/cli7040052.
(Click here for link to article)
Oakley, N.S., B.J. Hatchett, D. McEvoy, and L. Rodriguez, 2019, Projected Changes in Ventura County Climate. Western Regional Climate Center, Desert Research Institute, Reno, Nevada.
(Click here for report)
Petersen, A. M., E. M. Vincent, and A. L. Westerling, 2019, Discrepancy in scientific authority and media visibility of climate change scientists and contrarians, Nature Communications, 10(1).
(Click here for link to article)
Roche, J., R. Rice, X. Meng, D. Cayan, M. Dettinger, D. Alden, S. Patel, M. Mason, M. Conklin, and R. Bales, 2019, Climate, snow, and soil moisture data set for the Tuolumne and Merced River watersheds, California, USA, Earth System Science Data, 11, 101-110, doi.org/10.5194/essd-11-101-2019.
(Click here for link to article)
VanderMolen, K., T.U. Wall, and B. Daudert, 2019, A Call for the Evaluation of Web-Based Climate Data and Analysis Tools. Bulletin of American Meteorology Society, 100, 257–268, doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0006.1.
(Click here for link to article)
Williams A.P., J.T. Abatzoglou, A. Gershunov, J. Guzman Morales, D.A. Bishop and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2019, The link between anthropogenic climate change and wildfire in California, Eather’s Future, 7, doi.10.1029/2019EF001210.
(Click here for link to article)
Zhang, Z., D.W. Pierce, and D.R. Cayan, 2019, A Deficit of Seasonal Temperature Forecast Skill over West Coast Regions in NMME, Weather and Forecasting, dio:10.1175/WAF-D-18-0172.1.
(Click here for link to article)
2018
Bedsworth, L., D. R. Cayan, G. Franco, L. Fisher, S.A Ziaja (California Governor’s Office of Planning and Research, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, California Energy Commission, California Public Utilities Commission), 2018, Statewide Summary Report, California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment, Publication number: SUM-CCCA4-2018-013.
(Click here for link to article)
Climate-Safe Infrastructure Working Group (CSIWG), 2018, Paying it forward: The Path Toward Climate-Safe Infrastructure in California. Executive Summary of a Report of the Climate-Safe Infrastructure Working Group to the California State Legislature and the Strategic Growth Council. Sacramento, CA, CNRA, Publication number: CNRA-CCA4-CSI-001.
(Click here for link to article)
Crocket, J.L. and L. Westerling, 2018, Greater temperature and precipitation extremes intensify Western US droughts, wildfire severity, and Sierra Nevada tree mortality. Journal of Climate, doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0254.1.
(Click here for link to article)
Dettinger, M., F. M. Ralph, J. J. Rutz, 2018, Empirical Return Periods of the Most Intense Vapor Transports during Historical Atmospheric River Landfalls on the U.S. West Coast, Journal of Hydrometeorology, doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-17-0247.1.
(Click here for link to article)
Dettinger, M., H. Alpert, J. Battles, J. Kusel, H. Safford, D. Fougeres, C. Knight, L. Miller, S. Sawyer (United States Geological Survey), 2018, Sierra Nevada Summary Report, California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment. Publication number: SUM-CCCA4-2018-004.
(Click here for link to article)
Dias, D. F., D. R. Cayan, A. Gershunov (Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego), 2018, Statistical prediction of minimum and maximum air temperature in California and western North America, California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment, California Energy Commission. Publication Number: CCCA4-CEC-2018-011.
(Click here for link to article)
Franco, G., D. R. Cayan, David W. Pierce, A. L. Westerling, J. H. Thorne (California Energy Commission), 2018, Cumulative Global CO2 Emissions and their Climate Impacts from Local through Regional Scales, California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment, Publication number: CCCA4-EXT-2018-007.
(Click here for link to article)
Guirguis, K., A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan and D. Pierce, 2018, Heat wave probability in the changing climate of the Southwest US. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3850-3.
(Click here for link to article)
Guirguis K., R. Basu, W. K. Al-Delaimy, T. Benmarhnia, R.E.S. Clemesha, I. Corcos, J. Guzman-Morales, B. Hailey, I. Small, A. Tardy, D. Vashishtha, J.G. Zivin, and A. Gershunov, 2018, Heat, disparities, and health outcomes in San Diego County’s diverse climate zones, GeoHealth doi:10.1029/2017GH000127.
(Click here for link to article)
Guirguis, K, A. Gershunov, T. Shulgina, A. Subramanian, R.E.S. Clemesha, and F.M. Ralph, 2018, Circulation drivers of Atmospheric Rivers along the North American West Coast, Geophysical Research Letters.
(Click here for link to article)
Guirguis, K., A. Gershunov, T.M. Shulgina, R.E.S. Clemesha, F.M. Ralph, 2018, Atmospheric Rivers impacting Northern California and their modulation by a variable climate. Climate Dynamics In press.
Hatchett, B.J., and D.J. McEvoy, 2018, Exploring the Origins of Snow Drought in the Northern Sierra Nevada, Earth Interactions, 22 (2), 1-13.
(Click here for link to article)
Jennings, M.K., D. Cayan, J. Kalansky, A.D. Pairis, D.M. Lawson, A.D. Syphard, U. Abeysekera, R.E.S. Clemesha, A. Gershunov, K. Guirguis, J.M. Randall, E.D. Stein, and S. Vanderplank (San Diego State University), 2018, San Diego County Ecosystems: Ecological Impacts Of Climate Change On A Biodiversity Hotspot. California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment, California Energy Commission. Publication number: EXT-CCCA4-EXT-2018-010.
(Click here for link to article)
Kalansky, J.F., D. R. Cayan, K. Barba, L. Walsh, K. Brouwer, D. Boudreau (University of California, San Diego), 2018, San Diego Summary Report, California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment, Publication number: SUM-CCCA4-2018-009.
(Click here for link to article)
Lamjiri, M. A, M.D. Dettinger, F. M. Ralph, N. S. Oakley and J.J.Rutz, 2018, Hourly Analyses of the Large Storms and Atmospheric Rivers that Provide Most of California’s Precipitation in Only 10 to 100 Hours per Year, San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 16(4).
(Click here for link to article)
Moser, Susanne C., J.A Ekstrom., J. Kim, S. Heitsch, 2018, Adaptation Finance Challenges: Characteristic Patterns Facing California Local Governments and Ways to Overcome Them. California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment, California Natural Resources Agency. Publication number: CCCA4-CNRA-2018-007, in press.
(Click here for link to article)
Moser, Susanne C., J. A. Finzi Hart, A.G. Newton Mann, N. Sadrpour, P.M. Grifman, 2018, Growing Effort, Growing Challenge: Findings from the 2016 CA Coastal Adaptation Needs Assessment Survey. California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment, California Natural Resources Agency. Publication number: CCCA4-EXT-2018-009.
(Click here for link to article)
Moser, S.C. and J.F. Hart, 2018, The Adaptation Blindspot: Teleconnected and Cascading Impacts of Climate Change in the Electrical Grid and Lifelines of Los Angeles. California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment, California Energy Commission. Publication number: CCA4-CEC-2018-008.
(Click here for link to article)
Oakley, N. S., J. T. Lancaster, H. J. Hatchett, J. Stock, F. M. Ralph, S. C. Roj, S. Lukashov, 2018. A 22-year climatology of cool season hourly precipitation conducive to shallow landslides in California, Earth Interactions, doi.org/10.1175/EI-D-17-0029.1.
(Click here for link to article)
Oakley, N. S., F. Cannon, R. Munroe, J. T. Lancaster, D. Gomberg, and F. M. Ralph, 2018, Brief Communication: Meteorological and climatological conditions associated with the 9 January 2018 post-fire debris flows in Montecito and Carpinteria California, USA, Natural Hazards Earth System Science, doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2018-179, in press.
(Click here for link to article)
Oakley, N. S., F. Cannon, E. Boldt, J. Dumas, F. M. Ralph, 2018, Origins and variability of extreme precipitation in the Santa Ynez River Basin of Southern California, Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 19, 164-176, doi: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2018.09.001.
(Click here for link to article)
Pierce, D. W., J. F. Kalansky, D.R. Cayan, 2018, Climate, Drought, and Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the Fourth California Climate Assessment. California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment, California Energy Commission. Publication number: CCCA4-CEC-2018-006.
(Click here for link to article)
Ullrich, P.A., Z. Xu, A. M. Rhoades, M. D. Dettinger, J. F. Mount, A. D. Jones, and P. Vahmani, 2018, California’s drought of the future—A midcentury recreation of the exceptional conditions of 2012-2017, Earth Future 20 p., doi.org/10.1029/2018ef001007.
(Click here for link to article)
Vano, J., M. Dettinger, R. Cifelli, D. Curtis, A. Dufour, R. Olsen, and A. Wilson,2018, Hydroclimatic extremes as challenges for the water-management community—Lessons from Lake Oroville and Hurricane Harvey, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society; Special Supplement, Explaining Extreme Events of 2017, 99, S1-S6, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0219.1.
(Click here for link to article)
VanderMolen, K.A., Horangic, A., 2018, Implications of Regulatory Drought for Farmer Use of Climate Information in the Klamath Basin, Weather, Climate, and Society, 10, (2), 269-274, https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-17-0078.1.
(Click here for link to article)
Vicuna, S., M. Redwood, M. Dettinger, and A. Noyola, 2018, Urban Water Systems, in Rosenzweig, C., Soleckio, W., Romero-Lankao, P., Mehrotra, S., Dhakai, S., and Ali Ibrahim, S. (eds.), Climate Change and Cities—2nd Assessment Report of the Urban Climate Change Research Network: Cambridge University Press, New York, 519-552.
(Click here for link to book’s website)
T. Wall, G. Garfin, J. Brugger, H. Hartmann, and T. Brown, 2018, Final Report: Scenario Planning in the Great Basin Region: Considering Climate Change Impacts and Management Strategies for the Future.
(Click here for report)
Westerling, A. L. (University of California, Merced), 2018, Wildfire Simulations for California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment: Projecting Changes in Extreme Wildfire Events with a Warming Climate, California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment, California Energy Commission, Publication Number: CCCCA4-CEC-2018-014.
(Click here for link to article)
Zhenhai, Z., D. R. Cayan, D. W. Pierce (Scripps Institution of Oceanography), 2018, Subseasonal to Seasonal Temperature Prediction Skill over the California Region from Global Dynamical Forecasts, California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment, California Energy Commission, Publication Number: CCCA4-CEC-2018-010.
(Click here for link to article)
2017
Albano, C., M. Dettinger, and C. Soulard, 2017, Influence of atmospheric rivers on vegetation productivity and fire patterns in the Southwestern US: Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences, 16 p., doi:10.1002/2016JG003608.
(Click here for link to article)
Clemesha, R.E., A.Gershunov, S.F. Iacobellis and D.R. Cayan, 2017, Daily Variability of California Coastal Low Cloudiness: A Balancing Act between Stability and Subsidence. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL073075.
(Click here for link to article)
Clemesha, R.E., A. Gershunov, K. Guirguis, A.Tardy and I. Small, 2017, California heat waves: their spatial evolution, variation and coastal modulation by low clouds. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3875-7.
(Click here for link to article)
Griggs, G, J. Árvai, D. Cayan, R. DeConto, J. Fox, H.A. Fricker, R.E. Kopp, C. Tebaldi, E.A. Whiteman, (California Ocean Protection Council Science Advisory Team Working Group), 2017, Rising Seas in California: An Update on Sea-Level Rise Science. California Ocean Science Trust.
(Click here for link to article)
Gershunov A., T.M. Shulgina, F.M. Ralph, D. Lavers and J.J. Rutz, 2017, Assessing climate-scale variability of Atmospheric Rivers affecting western North America. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL074175.
(Click here for link to article)
Harpold, A. A., M. Dettinger, and S. Rajagopal, 2017, Defining Snow Drought and Why It Matters. EOS, 98, doi.org/10.1029/2017EO068775.
(Click here for link to article)
Keyser, A.R., and A.L. Westerling, 2017, Climate drives inter-annual variability in probability of high severity fire occurrence in the western United States. Environmental Research Letters.
(Click here for link to article)
Kitzberger,T., D.A. Falk, A. L. Westerling and T.W. Swetnam, 2017, Direct and indirect climate controls predict heterogeneous early-mid 21st century wildfire burned area across western and boreal North America PLOS one,doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0188486.
(Click here for link to article)
Konrad, C.P., and M.D. Dettinger, 2017, Flood runoff in relation to water vapor transport by atmospheric rivers over the western United States, 1949–2015. Geophysical Research Letters 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL075399.
(Click here for link to article)
Lamjiri, M.A., M.D. Dettinger, F.M. Ralph, and B. Guan, 2017, Hourly Storm Characteristics along the U.S. West Coast: Role of Atmospheric Rivers in Extreme Precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL074193.
(Click here for link to article)
Liang, Shuang, M. Hurteau, A.L. Westerling, 2017, Potential decline in carbon carrying capacity under projected climate-wildfire interactions in the Sierra Nevada. Scientific Reports, 7(2420): doi:10.1038/s41598-017-02686-0.
(Click here for link to article)
Liang, Shuang, M. Hurteau, A.L. Westerling, 2017, Response of Sierra Nevada forests to projected climate-wildfire interactions. Global Change Biology, 23(5): 2016-2030.
(Click here for link to article)
Polade, S.D., A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan, M.D. Dettinger and D.W. Pierce, 2017, Precipitation in a warming world: Assessing projected hydro-climate of California and other Mediterranean climate regions. Nature Scientific Reports, doi:10.1038/s41598-017-11285-y.
(Click here for link to the article)
Wall, T. U., A. M. Meadow, A. M. Horangic, 2017, Developing Evaluation Indicators to Improve the Process of Co-Producing Usable Climate Science. Weather, Climate, and Society, 9, doi: 10.1175/wcas-d-16-0008.1.
(Click here for link to the article)
Wall, T. U., T.J. Brown, N. J. Nauslar, 2017, Spot Weather Forecasts: Improving Utilization, Communication and Perceptions of Accuracy in Sophisticated Stakeholder Groups. Weather, Climate, and Society, 9:215-226, doi:10.1175/WCAS-D-15-0055.1. (Click here for link to the article)
2016
Cayan, D.R., M. D. Dettinger, D. Pierce, T. Das, N. Knowles, F.M. Ralph, & E. Sumargo, 2016, Natural variability, anthropogenic climate change and impacts on water availability and flood extremes in the western United States: Chapter 2 in Miller, K., et al. (ed.), Western Water Policy & Planning in a Variable & Changing Climate, Taylor and Francis, 17-42.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file of the article)
Clemesha, R.E., A. Gershunov, S.F. Iacobellis, D.R. Cayan and A.P. Williams, 2016, The Northward March of Summer Low Cloudiness along the California Coast. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, doi:10.1002/2015GL067081.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file of the article)
Dettinger, M.D., F.M. Ralph, and D.A. Lavers, 2016, Setting the stage for a global science of atmospheric rivers — Scripps International Atmospheric Rivers Workshop, La Jolla, California, 15-17 June 2015. EOS Earth and Space Science News, 97(1), 7.
(Click here for web-page article)
Dettinger, M.D., 2016, Historical and future relations between large storms and droughts in California, San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 14(2), 21 p.
(Click here for web-page article)
Dettinger, M.D., J. Anderson, M. Anderson, L. Brown, D. Cayan, and E. Maurer, 2016, Climate change and the Delta, San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 26 p., doi:10.15447/sfews.2016v14iss3art4.
(Click here for web-page article)
Gergel, D., B. Nijssen, J.T. Abatzoglou, D.P. Lettenmaier and M.R. Stumbaugh, 2016, Effects of Climate Change on Snowpack and Fire Risk in the western United States, Climatic Change, (accepted).
Guzman Morales, J., A. Gershunov, J. Theiss, H. Li and D. Cayan, 2016, Santa Ana Winds of southern California: their climatology, extremes and behavior since 1948. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, doi:10.1002/2016GL067887.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file of the article)
Healey, M. Dettinger, and R. Norgaard, 2016, Perspectives on Bay-Delta Science and Policy, San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 14(4), 25 p., doi.org/10.15447/sfews.2016v14iss4art6
(Click here for web-page article)
Healey, P. Goodwin, M. Dettinger, and R. Norgaard, 2016, he State of Bay Delta Science 2016—An introduction, San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 14(2), 7 p.
(Click here for web-page article)
Hobbins, M., A. Wood, D.J. McEvoy, J. Huntington, and C. Morton, James Verdin, Martha Anderson, and Christopher Hain, 2016, The Evaporative Demand Drought Index: Part I – Linking Drought Evolution to Variations in Evaporative Demand. Journal of Hydrometeorology. 17, 1745-1761, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-15-0121.1
(Click here for personal-use pdf file of the article)
Lavers, D., D. Waliser, F.M. Ralph, and M. Dettinger, 2016, Predictability of horizontal water vapor transport relative to precipitation–Enhancing situational awareness for forecasting Western U.S. extreme precipitation and flooding, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, doi:10.1002/2016GL067765.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file of the article)
Lundquist, J.D., J. Roche, H. Forrester, B. Huggett, C. Moore, E. Keenan, G. Perry, N. Cristea, B. Henn, K. Lapo, B. McGurk, D. Cayan, and M. Dettinger, 2016, Yosemite Hydroclimate Network—Distributed stream and atmospheric data for the Tuolumne River watershed and surroundings, Water Resources Research, (Technical Reports—Data) 52, 2112 p., doi:10.1002/2016WR019261.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file of the article)
McEvoy, D.J., J.L. Huntington, M. Hobbins, A. Wood, and C. Morton, J. Verdin, M. Anderson, and C. Hain, 2016, The Evaporative Demand Drought Index: Part II – CONUS-wide Assessment Against Common Drought Indicators. Journal of Hydrometeorology. 17, 1763-1779, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-15-0122.1.
McEvoy, D. J., J. L. Huntington, J. F. Mejia, and M. T. Hobbins, 2016, Improved Seasonal Drought Forecasts using Reference Evapotranspiration Anomalies. Geophysical Research Letters.43, 377-385, doi: 10.1002/2015GL067009.<A
(Click here for personal-use pdf file of the article)
Oakley, N.S., and B. Daudert, 2016: Establishing best practices to improve usefulness and usability of web interfaces providing atmospheric data. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97, 263-274, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00121.1.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file of the article)
Porter, K., D. Cox, M. Dettinger, and F. M. Ralph, 2016, The ARkStorm scenario—California’s other “big one”, Natural Hazards Review, 17(4).
(Click here for personal-use pdf file of the article)
2015
California DWR Climate Change Technical Advisory Group, 2015: Perspectives and guidance for climate change analysis. California Department of Water Resources Technical Information Record, 142 p.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file of the article)
Cavanaugh, N.R., A. Gershunov, A.K. Panorska, and T.J. Kozubowski, 2015: The Probability Distribution of Intense Daily Precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 1560–1567. doi: 10.1002/2015GL063238.
Dettinger, M., 2015: Sturm und Drang – California’s Remarkable Storm-Drought Connection. Hydrolink, 1/2015, Themed Issue: Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta from the IAHR: International Association for Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research, 21-22.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file of the article)
Dettinger, M., B. Udall and A. Georgakakos, 2015: Western water and climate change. Ecological Applications, 25(8), 2069-2093.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file of the article)
Florsheim, J.L., and M.D. Dettinger, 2015: Promoting Atmospheric-River and Snowmelt Fueled Biogeomorphic Processes by Restoring River-Floodplain Connectivity in California’s Central Valley. Chapter 6 in Geomorphic Approaches to Integrated Floodplain Management of Lowland Fluvial Systems in North America and Europe, Hudson, P.F., and H. Middelkoop (editors), 119-141. DOI 10.1007/978-1-4939-2380-9_6.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file of the article)
Guirguis, K., A. Gershunov and D. Cayan, 2015: Interannual variability in associations between seasonal climate, weather and extremes: wintertime temperature over the Southwestern United States. Environmental Research Letters, 10, 124023, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124023.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file of the article)
Livneh, B., T.J. Bohn, D.W. Pierce, F. Munoz-Arriola, B. Nijssen, R. Vose, D.R. Cayan and L. Brekke, 2015: A spatially comprehensive, hydrometeorological data set for Mexico, the U.S., and Southern Canada 1950–2013. Scientific Data, 2:150042. DOI:10.1038/sdata.2015.42
(Click here for personal-use pdf file of the article)
Mahoney, K., F.M. Ralph, K. Wolter, N. Doesken, M. Dettinger, D. Gottas, T. Coleman and A. White, 2015: Climatology of Extreme Daily Precipitation in Colorado and Its Diverse Spatial and Seasonal Variability. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 16, 781-792. doi:10.1175/JHM-D-14-0112.1.
Mao, Y., B. Nijssen, and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2015: Is climate change implicated in the 2013-2014 California drought? A hydrologic perspective, Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 2805-2813, doi:10.1002/2015GL063456.
Pierce, D.W., D.R. Cayan, E. P. Maurer, J. T. Abatzoglou, and K.C. Hegewisch, 2015: Improved bias correction techniques for hydrological simulations of climate change, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 16, 2421-2442, doi:10.1175/jhm-d-14-0236.1.
Rosenzweig, C., W. Solecki, P. Romero-Lankao, S. Mehrotra, T. Bowman and S. Ali Ibrahim, 2015: Climate change and cities — Summary for city leaders. Second Assessment Report of the Urban Climate Change Research Network, Columbia University, 25p.
Shukla, S., A. Steinemann, S.F. Iacobellis and D.R. Cayan, 2015: Annual Drought in California: Association with Monthly Precipitation and Climate Phases. J.Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 54, 2273-2281. doi:10.1175/JAMC-D.15-0167.1
Steinemann, A., S.F. Iacobellis and D.R. Cayan, 2015: Developing and Evaluating Drought Indicators for Decision-Making. J. Hydrometeor, 16, 1793-1803.doi:10.1175/JHM-D-14-0234.1
2014
Albano, C., D.A. Cox, M.D. Dettinger, M. McCarthy, K. Schaller and T. Wellborn, 2014: ARkStorm@Tahoe — Stakeholder perspectives on vulnerabilities and preparedness for an extreme storm event in the greater Lake Tahoe, Reno, and Carson City region. University of Nevada Cooperative Extension report, 43 p.
Borsa, A.A., D.C. Agnew and D.R. Cayan, 2014: Ongoing drought-induced uplift in the western United States. Science, published online 21 August 2014, DOI:10.1126/science.126079, 5 pages.
Dettinger, M., and D.R. Cayan, 2014: Drought and the California Delta – A Matter of Extremes. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 12(2), 7 pages.
(Click here for publicly available pdf file)
Dettinger, M., 2014: Impacts in the third dimension. Nature Geoscience; News and Views; Climate Change, 7, 166-167. soi:10.1038/ngeo2096.
Georgakakos, A., P. Fleming, M. Dettinger, C. Peters-Lidard, Terese (T.C.) Richmond, K. Reckhow, K. White, and D. Yates, 2014: Chapter 3: Water Resources. Climate Change Impacts Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment, J.M. Melillo, Terese (T.C.) Richmond, and G. W. Yohe, Eds., U.S. Global Change Research Program, 69-112. doi:10.7930/J0G44N6T.
Maurer, E.P., L. Brekke, T. Pruitt, B. Thrasher, J. Long, P. Duffy, M. Dettinger, D. Cayan and J. Arnold, 2014: An Enhanced Archive Facilitating Climate Impacts and Adaptation Analysis. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95, 1011-1019. DOI:10.1175/BANS-D-13-00126.1.
McEvoy, D.J., J. Mejia, and J.L., Huntington, 2014: Use of an Observation Network in the Great Basin to Evaluate Gridded Climate Data.Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15, 1913-1931, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-14-0015.1<
Mo, K.C., and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2014: Objective drought classification using multiple land surface models. Journal Hydrometeorology, 15, 990-1010, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-13-071.1
Neiman, P.J., G.A. Wick, B.J. Moore, F.M. Ralph, J.R. Spackman and B. Ward, 2014: An Airborne Study of an Atmospheric River over the Subtropical Pacific during WISPAR: Dropsonde Budget-Box Diagnostics and Precipitation Impacts in Hawaii. Monthly Weather Review, 142(9), 3199-3223, DOI:10.1175/MRW-D-13-00383.1.
Oakley, N.S., and K.T. Redmond, 2014: A Climatology of 500-hPa Closed Lows in the Northeastern Pacific Ocean, 1948-2011. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 53(6), 1578-1592. DOI:10.1175/JAMC-D-13-0223.1.
Pierce, D.W., D.R. Cayan and B.L. Thrasher, 2014: Statistical Downscaling Using Localized Constructed Analogs (LOCA). Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15,2558-2585.
Polade, S.D., D.W. Pierce, D.R. Cayan, A. Gershnov and M.D. Dettinger, 2014: The key role of dry days in changing regional climate and precipitation regimes. Nature Scientific Reports, 4(4364), 8 pages, doi:10.1038/srep04364.
Ralph, F.M., M. Dettinger, A. White, D. Reynolds, D. Cayan, T. Schneider, R. Cifelli, K. Redmond, M. Anderson, F. Gherke, J. Jones, K. Mahoney, L. Johnson, S. Gutman, V. Chandrasekar, J. Lundquist, N. Molotch, L. Brekke, R. Pulwarty, J. Horel, L. Schick, A. Edman, P. Mote, J. Abatzoglou, R. Pierce and G. Wick, 2014: A Vision for Future Observations for Western U.S. Extreme Precipitation and Flooding. Journal of Contemporary Water Research and Education; Universities Council on Water Resources, 153, 16-32.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Rodo, X., R. Curcoll, M. Robinson, J. Ballester, J.C. Burns, D.R. Cayan, W.I. Lipkin, B.L. Williams, M.Couto-Rodriguez, Y. Nakamura, R. Uehara, H. Tanimoto and J-A. Morgui, 2014: Tropospheric winds from northeastern China carry the etiologic agent of Kawasaki disease from its source to Japan. Proceedings of the National Academies of Science, 111(22), 7952-7957.
Schwartz, R.E., A. Gershunov, S.F. Iacobellis and D.R. Cayan, 2014: North American west coast summer low cloudiness: Broadscale variability associated with sea surface temperature. Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 8 pages, DOI:10.1002/2014GL059825.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Steinemann, A., 2014: Drought Information for Improving Preparedness in the Western States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95, 843-847. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00067.1.
Ward, P.J., S. Eisner, M.D. Dettinger and M. Kummu, 2014: Annual flood sensitivities to El Niño-Southern Oscillation at the global scale. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18, 47-66. doi:10.5194/hess-18-47-2014.
Ward, P.J., B. Jongman, M. Kummu, M. Dettinger, F. Sperna-Weiland and H. Winsemius, 2014: Strong influence of El Nino/Southern Oscillation on flood risk around the world. Proceedings of the National Academies of Science, 111(44), 15659-15664. doi:10.1073/pnas.1409822111.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
2013
Bromirski, P.D., D.R. Cayan, J. Helly and P. Wittmann, 2013: Wave power variability and trends across the North Pacific. Journal of Geophysical Research Oceans, 118, doi:10.1002/2013JC009189.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Brown, L.R., W.A. Bennett, W. Wagner, T. Morgan, N. Knowles, F. Feyrer,D. Schoellhamer, M. Stacey and M.D. Dettinger, 2013: Implications for future survival of deltas smelt from four climate-change scenarios for the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta, California. Estuaries and Coasts, 21 p., doi:10.1007/s12237-013-9585-4.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Burns, J.C., L. Herzog, O. Fabri, A.H. Tremoulet, X. Rodo, R. Uehara, D. Burgner, E. Bainto, D. Pierce, M. Tyree, D. Cayan and the Kawasaki Disease Global Climate Consortium, 2013: Seasonality of Kawasaki Disease: A Global Perspective. PLoS ONE, 8(9):e74529. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0074529
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Cayan, D., M. Tyree, K.E. Kunkel, C. Castro, A. Gershunov, J. Barsugli, A.J. Ray, J. Overpeck, M. Anderson, J. Russell, B. Rajagopalan, I. Rangwala and P. Duffy, 2013: Future Climate: Projected Average. Chapter 6 in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, G. Garfin, A. Jardine, R. Merideth, M. Black, and S. LeRoy (eds), Southwest Climate Alliance report, Washington, DC, Island Press, pp 101-125.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Das, A.J., N.L. Stephenson, A. Flint, T. Das and P.J. van Mantgem, 2013: ClimaticCorrelates of Tree Mortality in Water- and Energy-Limited Forests. PLOS ONE, 8(7), e69917, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0069917.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Das, T., E.P. Maurer, D.W. Pierce, M.D. Dettinger and D.R. Cayan, 2013: Increases in flood magnitudes in California under warming climates. Journal of Hydrology,501, 101-110.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., 2013: Atmospheric rivers as drought busters on the US west coast. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 14, 1721-1732. doi:10.1175/JHM-D-13-02.1
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., and B.L. Ingram, 2013: The coming megafloods. Scientific American, 308(1), 64-71.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Fleishman, E., J. Belnap, N. Cobb, C.A.F. Enquist, K. Ford, G. MacDonald, M. Pellant, T. Schoennagel, L.M. Schmit, M. Schwartz, S. van Drunick, A.L. Westering, 2013: Natural Ecosystems. Chapter 8 in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, G. Garfin, A. Jardine, R. Meridenth, M. Black and S. LeRoy (eds), Southwest Climate Alliance report, Washington, DC, Island Press, pages 148-167.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Gershunov, A., B. Rajagopalan, J. Overpeck, K. Guirguis, D. Cayan, M. Hughes, M. Dettinger, C. Castro, R.E. Schwartz, M. Anderson, A. J. Ray, J. Barsugli, T. Cavazos and M. Alexander, 2013: Future Climate: Projected Extremes. Chapter 7 in Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, G. Garfin, A. Jardine, R. Merideth, M. Black, and S. LeRoy (eds), Southwest Climate Alliance report, Washington, DC, Island Press, pp 126-147.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Guirguis, K., A. Gershunov, A. Tardy and R. Basu, 2013: The Impact of Recent Heat Waves on Human Health in California. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 53 doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-13-0130.1.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Hoerling, M.P., M. Dettinger, K. Wolter, J. Lukas, J. Eischeid, R. Nemani, B. Liebmann and K.E. Kunkel, 2013: Present Weather and Climate: Evolving Conditions. Chapter 5 in Assessment of Climate Change in the SouthwestUnited States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, G. Garfin, A. Jardine, R. Meridenth, M. Black and S. LeRoy (eds), Southwest Climate Alliance report, Washington, DC, Island Press, pp 74-100.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Iacobellis, S.F., and D.R. Cayan, 2013: The variability of California summertime marine stratus: Impacts on surface air temperatures. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118, 9105-9122. DOI:10.1002/jgrd.50652
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Maurer, E.P., L. Brekke, T.Pruitt, B.Thrasher, J.Long, P. Duffy, M. Dettinger, D.Cayan and J. Arnold, 2013: An enhanced archive facilitating climate impacts analysis. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95, 1011-1019. doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00126.1.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Maurer, E.P., T. Das and D.R. Cayan, 2013: Errors in climate model daily precipitation and temperature output: time invariance and implications for bias correction.Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 17, 2147-2159. doi:10.5194/hess-17-2147-2013.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Means, J.D., and D. Cayan, 2013: Precipitable Water from GPS Zenith Delays Using North American Regional Reanalysis Meteorology. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 30, 485-495. DOI:10.1175/JTECH-D-12-00064.1.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Means, J.D., 2013: GPS Precipitable Water as a Diagnostic of the North American Monsoon in California and Nevada. Journal of Climate, 26, 1432-1444. DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00185.1.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Pierce, D.W., and D.R. Cayan, 2013: The uneven response of different snow measures to human-induced climate warming. Journal of Climate, 26, 4148-4167. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D- 12-00534.1
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Pierce, D.W., D.R. Cayan, T. Das, E.P. Maurer, N.L. Miller, Y. Bao, M. Kanamitsu, K. Yoshimura, M.A. Snyder, L.C. Sloan, G. Franco and M. Tyree, 2013: The key role of heavy precipitation events in climate model disagreements of future annual precipitation changes in California. Journal of Climate, 26, 5879–5896. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00766.1
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Pierce, D.W., T. Das, D.R. Cayan, E.P. Maurer, N.L. Miller, Y. Bao, M. Kanamitsu, K. Yoshimura, M.A. Snyder, L.C. Sloan, G. Franco and M. Tyree, 2013: Probabilistic estimates of future changes in California temperature and precipitation using statistical and dynamical downscaling. Climate Dynamics, 40, 839-856. doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1337-9.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Pierce, D.W., A.L. Westerling and J. Oyler, 2013: Future humidity trends over the western United States in the CMIP5 global climate models and variable infiltration capacity hydrological modeling system. Hydrologic Earth Systems Science, 17, 1833-1850. doi:10.5194/hess-17-1833-2013
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Polade, S.D., A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan, M.D. Dettinger and D.W. Pierce, 2013: Natural climate variability and teleconnections to precipitation over the Pacific-North American region in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 1-6. doi:10.1002/grl.50941.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Ralph, M., M. Dettinger and D. Reynolds, 2013: A 21st century vision for observations of western U.S. extreme storms. Mountain Views: CIRMOUNT newsletter, 7,1, 2-3.
(Click here for a pdf of the Spring 2013 newsletter)
Ralph, F.M., J. Intrieri, D. Andra Jr., R. Atlas, S. Boukabara, D. Bright, P. Davidson, B. Entwistle, J. Gaynor, S. Goodman, J.-G. Jiing, A. Harless, J. Huang, G. Jedlovec, J. Kain, S. Koch, B. Kuo, J. Levit, S. Murillo, L.P. Riishojgaard, T. Schneider, R. Schneider, T. Smith and S. Weiss, 2013: The Emergence of Weather-Related Test Beds Linking Research and Forecasting Operations. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 94(8), 1187-1211.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Rosenberg, E.A., E.A. Clark, A.C. Steinemann and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2013: On the contribution of groundwater storage to interannual streamflow anomalies in the Colorado River Basin. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 17, 1475-1491, doi:10.5194/hess-17-1475-2013.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Rosenberg, E.A., A.W. Wood and A.C. Steinemann, 2013: Informing hydrometric network design for statistical seasonal streamflow forecasts. Journal of Hydrometeorology, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-12-0136.1, in press.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Stahle, D.W., R.D. Griffin, M.D. Therrell, J.R. Edmondson, M.K. Cleaveland, L.N. Stahle, D.J. Burnette, J.T. Abatzoglou, K.T. Redmond, D.M. Meko, M.D. Dettinger, and D.R. Cayan, 2013: The ancient blue oak woodlands of California – Longevity and hydroclimatic history. Earth Interactions, 17, 1-23, doi:10.1175/2013EI000518.1.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
White, A.B., M.L. Anderson, M.D. Dettinger, F.M. Ralph, A. Hinojosa, D.R. Cayan, R.K. Hartman, D.W. Reynolds, L.E. Johnson, T.L. Schneider, R. Cifelli, Z. Toth, S.I. Gutman, C.W. King, F. Gehrke, P.E. Johnston, C. Walls, D. Mann, D.J. Gottas and T. Coleman, 2013: A Twenty-First-Century California Observing Network for Monitoring Extreme Weather Events. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 30, 1585-1603. DOI:10.1175/JTECH-D-12-00217.1
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
2012
Bromirski, P.D., D.R. Cayan, N. Graham, M. Tyree and R.E. Flick, 2012: Coastal Flooding – Potential Projections 2000-2100. Public Interest Energy Research, California Energy Commission, Sacramento, CA., CEC-500-2012-011, 43 pages.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Brooks, B.A., G. Bawden, D. Manjunath, C. Werner, N. Knowles, J. Foster, J. Dudas and D.R. Cayan, 2012: Contemporaneous Subsidence and Levee Overtopping Potential, Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta, California. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 10(1), 18pp.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Bryant, B.P., and A.L. Westerling, 2012: Scenarios to Evaluate Long-term Wildfire Risk in California: new methods for considering links between changing demography, land use and climate. Public Interest Energy Research, California Energy Commission, Sacramento, CA., CEC-500-2012-030, 51 pages.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Cayan, D., M. Tyree and S. Iacobellis, 2012: Climate Change Scenarios for the San Francisco Region. Public Interest Energy Research, California Energy Commission, Sacramento, CA., CEC-500-2012-042, 21 pages.
(Click here for personual-use pdf file)
Cayan, D., M. Tyree, D. Pierce and T. Das, 2012: Climate Change and Sea Level Rise Scenarios for California Vulnerability and Adaptation Assessment. Public Interest Energy Research, California Energy Commission, Sacramento, CA., CEC-500-2012-008, 28 pages.
(Click here for personual-use pdf file)
DeFlorio, M.J., D.W. Pierce, D.R. Cayan and A.J. Miller, 2012: Western U.S. Extreme Precipitation Events and Their Relation to ENSO and PDO in CCSM4.Journal of Climate, 26, 4231–4243. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00257.1.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Delgado, E., C. Leonard, J. Sullens, T. Brown and G. Garfin, 2012: National Seasonal Assessment Workshop for the Eastern, Southern & Southwest Areas. January 2012, Workshop Report, 4.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., 2012: Projections and downscaling of 21st Century temperatures, precipitation, radiative fluxes and winds over the southwestern US, with a focus on Lake Tahoe. Climatic Change, 17 doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0501-x.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Fleishman, Belnap, Cobb, Enquist, Ford, MacDonald, Pellant, Schoennagel, Schmit, Schwartz, Van Drunick and Westerling, 2012: Chapter 8: Natural Ecosystems. The Southwest Climate Assessment Technical Report.
Fontaine, M.M., A.C. Steinemann and M.J. Hayes, 2012: State Drought Programs and Plans: Survey of the Western U.S. Natural Hazards Review, ASCE, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000094.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Gershunov, A., and K. Guirguis, 2012: California heat waves in the present and future. Geophysical Research Letters, <B38(18), dio:10.1029/2012GL052979.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Gleckler, P.J., B.D. Santer, C.M. Domingues, D.W. Pierce, T.P. Barnett, J.A. Church, K.E. Taylor, K.M. AchutaRao, T.P. Boyer, M. Ishii and P.M. Caldwell, 2012: -Human-induced global ocean warming on multidecadal timescales. Nature Climate Change, 2, 524-529, doi:10.1038/nclimate1553.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Graham, N.E., D.R. Cayan, P.D. Bromirski and R.E. Flick, 2012: Multi-model projections of twenty-first century North Pacific winter wave climate under the IPCC A2 scenario. Climate Dynamics, in press. DOI 10.1007/s00382-012-1435-8.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Hanson, R.T., L.E. Flint, A.L. Flint, M.D. Dettinger, C.C Faunt, D. Cayan and W. Schmid, 2012: A method for physically based model analysis of conjunctive use in response to potential climate changes. Water Resources Research, 48, W00L08, 23pp, doi:10.1029/2011WR010774.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Kunkel, K.E., T.R. Karl, H. Brooks, J. Kossin, J. Lawrimore, D. Arndt, L. Bosart, D. Changnon, S. Cutter, N. Doesken, K. Emmanuel, P. Ya. Groisman, R.W. Katz, T. Knutson, J.J. O’Brien, C.J. Paciorek, T. Peterson, K.T. Redmond, D. Robinson, J. Trapp, R. Vose, S. Weaver, M. Wehner, K. Wolter and D. Wuebbles, 2012: Monitoring and Understanding Changes in Extreme Storm Statistics: State of Knowledge. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
Kunkel, K.E., L.E. Stevens, S.E. Stevens, E. Janssen and K.T. Redmond, 2012: Climate of the Northwest U.S.National Climate Assessment, 41 pages.
Kunkel, K.E., L.E. Stevens, S.E. Stevens, E. Janssen and K.T. Redmond, 2012: Climate of the Southwest U.S.National Climate Assessment, 63 pages.
Macias, D., M.R. Landry, A. Gershunov, A.J. Miller and P.J.S. Franks, 2012: Climatic Control of Upwelling Variability along the Western North AmericaCoast. PLoS ONE, 7, 1-13.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
National Research Council (NRC), 2012: Sea-Level Rise for the Coasts of California, Oregon, and Washington: Past, Present, and Future. National Academies Press, 274 pages.
(Click here to download a free pdf of the report)
Pierce, D.W., Ed., 2012: California climate extremes workshop report. Scripps Institution of Oceanography. 32pp.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Pierce, D.W., P.J. Gleckler, T.P. Barnett, B.D. Santer and P.J. Durack, 2012: The fingerprint of human-induced changes in the ocean’s salinity and temperature fields.Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L21704, doi:10.1029/2012GL053389.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Ralph, F.M., and M.D. Dettinger, 2012: Historical and national perspectives on extreme west-coast precipitation associated with atmospheric rivers during December 2010. Bulletin, American Meteorological Society, 93, 783-790, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00188.1.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Sahoo, G., S.G. Schladow, J.E. Reuter, R. Coats, M. Dettinger, J. Riverson, B. Wolfe, and M. Costa-Cabral, 2012: The response of Lake Tahoe to climate change. Climatic Change, 25p, published online 11 October 2012, DOI 10.1007/s10584-012-0600-8.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Semenza, J.C., J.S. Caplan, G. Buescher, T. Das, M.V. Brinks and A. Gershunov, 2012: Climate Change and Microbiological Water Quality at California Beaches. EcoHealth, doi:10.1007/s10393-012-0779. Published online 18 July 2012.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Steenburgh, W.J., K. Redmond, K. Kunkel, N. Doesken, R. Billies, J. Horel, M.P. Hoerling, 2012: The Weather and Climate of the Southwest United States. Southwest Climate Assessment, Chapter 4, National Climate Assessment. (
Vano, J.A., T. Das and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2012: Hydrologic Sensitivities of Colorado River Runoff to Changes in Precipitation and Temperature. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 13, 3, 932-949, DOI:10.1175/JHM-D-11-069.1.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Wall, T., G. Garfin and J. Galayda, 2012: Evaluating Our Capacity: A Discussion of Capability for Ongoing Climate Assessment in the Colorado River Basin. CLIMAS publication.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., S.P. Harrison and P.J. Bartlein, 2012: Fire: Are we facing an increase in wildfires? PAGES news, 20(1), 24-25.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
2011
Bromirski, P.D., A.J. Miller, R.E. Flick and G. Auad, 2011: Dynamical suppression of sea level rise along the Pacific coast of North America: Indications for imminent acceleration. J. Geophys. Res., 116, C07005, 13pp, doi:10.1029/2010JC006759.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Cloern, J.E., N. Knowles, L.R. Brown, D. Cayan, M.D. Dettinger, T.L. Morgan, D.H. Schoellhamer, M.T. Stacey, M. van der Wegen, R.W. Wagner and A.D. Jassby, 2011: Projected Evolution of California’s San Francisco Bay-Delta-River System in a Century of Climate Change. PLoS One, 6(9), e24465. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0024465
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Das, T., D.W. Pierce, D.R. Cayan, J.A. Vano and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2011: The importance of warm season warming to western U.S. streamflow changes. Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L23403, doi:10.1029/2011GL049660.
(Click here for article)
Das, T., M.D. Dettinger, D.R. Cayan and H.G. Hidalgo, 2011: Potential increase in floods in California’s Sierra Nevada under future climate projections. Climatic Change, 24 pp, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0298-z.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Dettinger, M., 2011: Climate change, atmospheric rivers and floods in California – A multimodel analysis of storm frequency and magnitude changes. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 47(3), 514-523. DOI:10.1111/j.1752-1688.2011.00546:x
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., F.M. Ralph, M. Hughes, T. Das, P. Neiman, D. Cox, G. Estes, D. Reynolds, R. Hartman, D. Cayan and L. Jones, 2011: Design and quantification of an extreme winter storm scenario for emergency preparedness and planning exercises in California. Natural Hazards, 27 p.
doi:10.1007/s11069-011-9894-5.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., F.M. Ralph, T. Das, P.J. Neiman and D.R. Cayan, 2011: Atmospheric Rivers, Floods and the Water Resources of California. Water, 3, 445-478. doi:10.3390/w3020445
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Edwards, L.M., and K.T. Redmond, 2011: Climate Assessment for the Sierra Nevada Network Parks. National Park Service, Natural Resource Report NPS/2011/NRR-2011/482, 155 pages.
Franco, G., D.R. Cayan, S. Moser, M. Hanemann and M.-A. Jones, 2011: Second California Assessment: integrated climate change impacts assessment of natural and managed systems. Guest editorial. Climatic Change, 109S1, S1-S19. DOI 10.1007/s10584-011-0318-z
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Gershunov, A., Z. Johnston, H.G. Margolis and K. Guirguis, 2011: The California Heat Wave 2006 with Impacts on Statewide Medical Emergency: A space-time analysis. Geography Research Forum, 31, 6-31.
Guirguis, K., A. Gershunov, R. Schwartz and S. Bennett, 2011: Recent warm and cold daily winter temperature extremes in the Northern Hemisphere. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L17701, 6p, doi:10.1029/2011GL048762.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Hanson, R.T., 2011: Information Memorandum for the Secretary of Interior (03/10/2011), From R.T. Hanson through Marcia McNutt, Director, U.S. Geological Survey, Subject: Conjunctive Use in Response to Potential Climate Changes in the Central Valley, California. 2pp.
Mote, P.W., and K.T. Redmond, 2011: Western climate change. In Ecological Consequences of Climate Change: Mechanisms, Conservation, and Management, J.L. Belant and E. Beever (editors), Taylor and Francis Publishing, CRC Press, New York, NY, Chapters 1 and 3-26, 336 pages.
(Click here to order a copy)
Preisler, H.K., A.L. Westerling, K.M. Gebert, F. Munoz-Arriola and T. Holmes, 2011: Spatially explicit forecasts of large wildland fire probability and suppression costs for California. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 20, 508-517.
(Click here for a personal-use copy)
Ralph, F.M., and M.D. Dettinger, 2011: Storms, floods and the science of atmospheric rivers. EOS, Transactions of AGU, 92(32), 265-266.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Redmond, K., G. McCurdy, G. Kelly, L. Edwards and D. Simeral, 2011: Development of SC-ACIS for California. Final Report, GEI Subcontract 08-06-DRI, 17 pages.
Rodo, X., J. Ballester, D. Cayan, M.E. Melish, Y. Nakamura, R. Uehara and J.C. Burns, 2011: Association of Kawasaki disease with tropospheric wind patterns. Nature Scientific Reports, 1(152), 7 pages. DOI:10.1038/srep00152
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Rosenberg, E.A., A.W. Wood and A.C. Steinemann, 2011: Statistical applications of physically based hydrologic models to seasonal streamflow forecasts. Water Resources Research, 47, 19 pages. doi:10.1029/2010WR010101
Shukla, S., A.C. Steinemann and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2011: Drought Monitoring System for Washington State: Indicators and Applications. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12(1), 66-83. DOI: 10.1175/2010JHM1307.1
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Smithwick, E.A.H., A.L. Westerling, M.G. Turner, W.H. Romme and M.G. Ryan, 2011: Vulnerability of Landscape Carbon Fluxes to Future Climate and Fire in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem. Questioning Greater Yellowstone’s Future: Climate, Land Use, and Invasive Species, Conference proceedings, 191-198.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Stahle, D.W., R.D. Griffin, M.K. Cleaveland, J.R. Edmondson, F.K. Fye, D.J. Burnette, J.Y. Abatzoglou, K.T. Redmond, D.M. Meko, M.D. Dettinger, D.R. Cayan and M.D. Therrell, 2011: A tree-ring reconstruction of the salinity gradient in the northern estuary of San Francisco Bay. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 9(1), 22 p.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Walker, J.F., L.E. Hay, S.L. Markstrom and M.D. Dettinger, 2011:Characterizing climate-change impacts on the 1.5-yr flood flow in selected basins across the United States: A probabilistic approach. Earth Interactions, 15(18), 16p, doi: 10.1175/2010EI379.1.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., 2011: Brevia: Climate Change Could Rapidly Transform Greater Yellowstone Fire Regimes. Mountain Views: The Newsletter of the Consortium for Integrated Climate Research in Western Mountains (CIRMOUNT), 5(2), 30-32.
Westerling, A.L., B.P. Bryant, H.K. Preisler, T.P. Holmes, H. Hidalgo, T. Das and S. Shrestha, 2011: Climate Chnage and Growth Scenarios for California Wildfire. Climatic Change, 109(s1), 445-463.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., M.G. Turner, E.H. Smithwick, W.H. Romme and M.G. Ryan, 2011: Continued warming could transform Greater Yellowstone fire regimes by mid-21st Century. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 108(32), 13165-13170.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Zhao, Z., S.-H. Chen, M.J. Kleeman, M. Tyree and D. Cayan, 2011: The Impact of Climate Change on Air Quality-Related Meteorological Conditions in California. Part I: Present Time Simulation Analysis. J. Climate, 24, 3344-3361. DOI: 10.1175/2011JCLI3849.1
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
2010
Ben Ari, T., A. Gershunov, T. Rouyer, B. Cazelles, K.L. Gage and N.Ch. Stenseth, 2010: Interannual variability of human plague occurrence in the western U.S. explained by tropical and North Pacific Ocean climate variability. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene,
83, 624-632.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Bytnerowicz, A., D. Cayan, P. Riggan, S. Schilling, P. Dawson, M. Tyree, L. Wolden, R. Tissell and H. Preisler, 2010: Analysis of the effects of combustion emissions and Santa Ana winds on ambient ozone during the October 2007 southern California wildfires. Atmospheric Environment, 44, 678-687. (Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Cayan, D.R., T. Das, D.W. Pierce, T.P. Barnett, M. Tyree and A. Gershunov, 2010: Future dryness in the southwest US and the hydrology of the early 21st century drought. PNAS, 107(50), 21271-21276.
www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.0912391107
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Cox, D., and others on the ARkStorm team, 2010: ARkStorm — California’s other big one. ARkStorm Summit handout, 4p.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Gershunov A., D. Cayan and B. Retournaz, 2010: California Heat Waves with Impacts on Wine Grapes. In E.G. Pavia, J. Sheinbaum and J. Candela (Eds), The Ocean, the Wine, and the Valley: The Lives of Antoine Badan, Lulu Press, 205-223, ISBN 978-0-557-94026-4.
Hanson, R.T., A.L. Flint, L.E. Flint, C.C. Faunt, W. Schmid, M.D. Dettinger, S.A. Leake and D.R. Cayan,, 2010: Integrated simulation of consumptive use and land subsidence in the Central Valley, California, for the past and for a future subject to urbanization and climate change. Proceedings of the Eight International Symposium on Land Subsidence (EISOLS), Queretaro, Mexico, October 2010, 467-471.
(Click here for the article)
Maurer, E.P., H.G. Hidalgo, T. Das, M.D. Dettinger and D.R. Cayan, 2010: The utility of daily large-scale climate data in the assessment of climate change impacts on daily streamflow in California. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 1125-1138, doi:10.5194/hess-14-1125-2010.
(Click here for the article)
OrtizBevia, M., I. Perez-Gonzalez, F. Alvarez-Garcia and A. Gershunov, 2010:Nonlinear estimation of El Niño impact on the North Atlantic Winter. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, 10pp, doi:10.1029/2009JD013387.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Rosenberg, E.A., P.W. Keys, D.B. Booth, D. Hartley, J. Burkey, A.C. Steinemann and D.P. Lettenmaier, 2010: Precipitation extremes and the impacts of climate change on stormwater infrastructure in Washington State. Climatic Change, 102 (1-2), 319-349, doi:10.1007/s10584-010-9847-0.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
2009
Brekke, L.D., E.P. Maurer, J.D. Anderson, M.D. Dettinger, E.S. Townsley, A. Harrison, and T. Pruitt, 2009: Assessing reservoir operations risk under climate change. Water Resour. Res., 45, W04411, doi:10.1029/2008WR006941.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Cayan, D., M. Tyree, M. Dettinger, H. Hidalgo, T. Das, E. Maurer, P. Bromirski, N. Graham and R. Flick, 2009: Climate Change Scenarios and Sea Level Rise Estimates for the California 2009 Climate Change Scenarios Assessment. California Climate Change Center, publication #CEC-500-2009-014-F,64 pages, August 2009.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Das, T., H. Hidalgo, D. Cayan, M. Dettinger, D. Pierce, C. Bonfils, T.P. Barnett, G. Bala and A. Mirin, 2009: Structure and origins of trends in hydrological measures over the western United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 10, 871-892. doi:10.1175/2009JHM1095.1.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Favre, A. and A. Gershunov, 2009: North Pacific cyclonic and anticyclonic transients in a global warming context: possible consequences for Western North American daily precipitation and temperature extremes. Climate Dynamics, 32, 969-987.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Fontaine, M.M., and A.C. Steinemann, 2009: Assessing Vulnerability to Natural Hazards: Impact-Based Method and Application to Drought in Washington State. Natural Hazards Review, 10, 11-18, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2009)10:1(11).
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Gershunov, A., D.R. Cayan and S.F. Iacobellis, 2009: The Great 2006 heat wave over California and Nevada: Signal of an Increasing Trend. Journal of Climate. Early Online Release. DOI: 10.1175/2009JCLI2465.1 (Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Hidalgo H.G., T. Das, M.D. Dettinger, D.R. Cayan, D.W. Pierce, T.P. Barnett, G. Bala, A. Mirin, A.W. Wood, C. Bonfils, B.D. Santer, and T. Nozawa, 2009: Detection and Attribution of Stream flow Timing Changes to Climate Change in the Western United States. Journal of Climate, 22, DOI: 10.1175/2009JCLI2470.1, 3838-3855.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Kozubowski, T.J., A.K. Panorska, F. Qeadan and A. Gershunov, 2009: Testing exponentiality versus Pareto distribution via likelihood ratio. Communications in Statistics, 38, 118-139.
Nelson, K.C., M.A. Palmer, P.L. Angemeier, J.E. Pizzuto, G.E. Moglen, M. Dettinger and K. Hayhoe, 2009: Forecasting the combined effects of urbanization and climate change on stream ecosystems — From impacts to management options. Journal of Applied Ecology, 46, 154-163. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2664.2008.01599.x
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
2008
Anderson, J., F. Chung, M. Anderson, L. Brekke, D. Easton, M. Ejeta, R. Peterson and R. Snyder, 2008: Progress on incorporating climate change into management of California’s water resources. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S91-S108, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9353-1.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Baldocchi, D., and S. Wong, 2008: Accumulated winter chill is decreasing in the fruit growing regions of California. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S153-S166, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9367-8.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Battles, J.J., T. Robards, A. Das, K. Saring, J.Keith Gilless, G. Biging and F. Schurr, 2008: Climate change impacts on forest growth and tree mortality: a data-driven modeling study in the mixed-conifer forest of the Sierra Nevada, California. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S193-S213, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9358-9.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Barnett, T.P., D.W. Pierce, H. Hidalgo, C. Bonfils, B. Santer, T. Das, G. Bala, A. Wood, T. Nozawa, A. Mirin, D. Cayan and M. Dettinger, 2008: Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States. Science, 316, 1080-1083.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Ben Ari, T., A. Gershunov, T. Rouyer, B. Cazelles, K.L. Gage and N.Ch. Stenseth, 2008: Human plague in the United States: the importance of regional and local climate. Biology Letters, 4, 737-740.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Bonfils, C., B.D. Santer, D.W. Pierce, H.G. Hidalgo, G. Bala, T. Das, T.P. Barnett, D.R. Cayan, C. Doutriaux, A.W. Wood, A. Mirin and T. Nozawa, 2008: Detection and Attribution of Temperature Changes in the Mountainous Western United States. Journal of Climate, 21, 6404-6424. DOI:10.1175/2008JCL12397.1
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Bonfils, C., P.B. Duffy, B.D. Santer, T.M.L. Wigley, D.B. Lobell, T.J. Phillips and C. Doutriaux, 2008: Identification of external influences on temperatures in California. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S43-S55, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9374-9.(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Brekke, L.D., M.D. Dettinger, E.P. Maurer and M. Anderson, 2008: Significance of model credibility in estimating climate projection distributions for regional hydroclimatological risk assessments. Climatic Change, 89, 371-394. doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9388-3
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Cayan, D.R., A.L. Luers, G. Franco, M. Hanemann, B. Croes and E. Vine, 2008:Overview of the California climate change scenarios project. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S1-S6, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9352-2.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Cayan, D.R., E.P. Maurer, M.D. Dettinger, M. Tyree and K. Hayhoe, 2008: Climate Change Scenarios for the California Region. Climatic Change, published online, 26 Jan 2008, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9377-6.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Cayan, D.R., P.D. Bromirski, K. Hayhoe, M. Tyree, M..D. Dettinger and R.E. Flick, 2008: Climate change projections of sea level extremes along the California coast. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S57-S73, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9376-7.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Corringham, T., A. L. Westerling and B. Morehouse, 2008: Exploring Use of Climate Information in Wildland Fire Management: A Decision Calendar Study. Journal of Forestry, 106(2):71-77.
Dettinger, M.D., and S. Culberson, 2008: Internalizing climate change – Scientific resource management and the climate change challenges. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 6(2), Article 6.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Franco, G., D. Cayan, A. Luers, M. Hanemann and B. Croes, 2008: Linking climate change science with policy in California.
Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S7-S20, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9359-8.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Franco, G., and A.H. Sanstad, 2008: Climate change and electricity demand in California. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S139-S151, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9364-y.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Fried, J.S., J.Keith Gilless, W.J. Riley, T.J. Moody, C. Simon de Blas, K. Hayhoe, M. Moritz, S. Stephens and M. Torn, 2008: Predicting the effect of climate change on wildfire behavior and initial attack success. Climatic Change, 87, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9360-2.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Funk, C., M.D. Dettinger, J.C. Michaelsen, J.P. Verdin, M.E. Brown, M. Barlow and A. Hoell, 2008: Warming of the Indian Ocean threatens eastern and southern African food security but could be mitigated by agricultural development. PNAS, 105(32), 11081-11086. doi/10.1073/pnas.0708196105
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Gershunov, A., and H. Douville, 2008: Extensive summer hot and cold extremes undercurrent and possible future climatic conditions: Europe and North America. In: Climate Extremes and Society, H. Diaz and R. Murnane (eds.), Cambridge University Press. Online ISBN: 9780511535840,
Chapter DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511535840.008.
Guiterrez, A.P., L. Ponti, T. d’Oultremont and C.K. Ellis, 2008: Climate change effects on poikilotherm tritrophic interactions. Climatic Change, 87, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9379-4.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Healey, M., M. Dettinger and R. Norgaard (editors), 2008: The state of Bay-Delta science. CALFED Science Program, 174 p. <A
(Click here for personal-use pdf file of the report)
Healey, M., M. Dettinger and R. Norgaard, 2008: State of the science for the Bay-Delta system – Summary for policymakers and the public: CALFED Science Program Report, 19p.
(Click here for web page detailing the report)
Hidalgo, H.G., M.D. Dettinger and D.R. Cayan, 2008: Changes in Aridity in the Western United States. In “California Drought, An Update – 2008”, California Department of Water Resources, pp 54-59, April 2008.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Hidalgo, H.G., M.D. Dettinger and D.R. Cayan, 2008: Downscaling with Constructed Analogues: Daily Precipitation and Temperature Fields over the United States. CEC PIER Project Report CEC-500-2007-123, 48pp.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Holmes, T.P., R.J. Hugget and A.L. Westerling, 2008: Statistical Analysis of Large Wildfires. Chapter 4 in Economics of Forest Disturbance: Wildfires, Storms, and Pests, Series: Forestry Sciences, 79. T.P. Holmes, J.P. Prestemon and K.L. Abt, Eds., XIV, 422p, Springer. ISBN: 978-1-4020-4369-7
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Jaffe, D., W. Hafner, D. Chand, A.L. Westerling and D.V. Spracklen, 2008: Interannual Variations in Wildfire PM2.5 in the Western United States. Environmental Science and Technology, 42:2812-2818. DOI:10.1021/es702755v
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Mahmud, A., M. Tyree, D. Cayan, N. Motallebi and M.J. Kleeman, 2008: Statistical downscaling of climate change impacts on ozone concentrations in California. J Geophys Res, 113, D21103, doi:10.1029/2007JD009534, 12p.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Maurer, E.P., and H.G. Hidalgo, 2008: Utility of daily vs. monthly large-scale climate data: an intercomparison of two statistical downscaling methods. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 12, 551-563.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Medellin-Azuara, J. J.J. Harou, M.A. Olivares, K. Madani, J.R. Lund, R.E. Howitt, S.K. Tanaka, M.W. Jenkins and T. Zhu, 2008: Adaptability and adaptations of California’s water supply system to dry climate warming. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S75-S90, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-0355-z.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Moritz, M.A., and S.L. Stephens, 2008: Fire and sustainability: consideration for
California’s altered future climate. Climatic Change, 87, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9361-1.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Neiman, P.J., F.M. Ralph, G.A. Wick, Y.H. Kuo, T.K. Wee, Z. Ma, G.H. Taylor and M.D. Dettinger, 2008: Diagnosis of an intense atmospheric river impacting the Pacific Northwest – Storm summary and offshore vertical structure observed with COSMIC satellite retrievals. Monthly Weather Review, 136, 4398-4420, doi:10.1175/2008MWR2550.1.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Neiman, P.J., F.M. Ralph, G.A. Wick, J.D. Lundquist and M.D. Dettinger, 2008: Meteorological characteristics and overland precipitation impacts of atmospheric rivers affecting the West Coast of North America based on eight years of SSM/I satellite observations. J. Hydrometeorology, 9, 22-47, doi:10.1175/2007JHM855.1.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Pierce, D.W., T.P. Barnett, H.G. Hidalgo, T. Das, C. Bonfils, B.D. Santer, G. Bala, M.D. Dettinger, D.R. Cayan, A. Mirin, A.W. Wood, and T. Nozawa, 2008: Attribution of Declining Western U.S. Snowpack to Human Effects. Journal of Climate, 21, 6425-6444. doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2405.1
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Preisler, H.K., S.C. Chen, F. Fujioka, J.W. Benoit and A.L. Westerling, 2008: Wildland fire probabilities estimated from weather model-deduced monthly mean fire danger indices. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 17, 305-316. doi:10.1071/WF06162
(Click here for abstract)
Purkey, D.R., B. Joyce, S. Vicuna, M.W. Hanemann, L.L. Dale, D. Yates and J.A. Dracup, 2008: Robust analysis of future climate change impacts on water for agriculture and other sectors: a case study in the Sacramento Valley. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S109-S122, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9375-8.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Reisen, W.K., D. Cayan, M. Tyree, C.M. Barker, B. Eldridge and M. Dettinger, 2008: Impact of climate variation on mosquito abundance in California. Journal of Vector Ecology, 33(1), 89-98.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Taylor, S.V., D.R. Cayan, N.E. Graham and K.P. Georgakakos, 2008: Northerly surface winds over the eastern North Pacific Ocean in spring and summer. Journal of Geophysical Research, 113, (D2):D02110.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
van Wagtendonk, J.W., and D.R. Cayan, 2008: Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Lightning Strikes in California in Relation To Large-Scale Weather Patterns. Fire Ecology, 4(1), 34-56.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Vicuna, S., R. Leonardson, M.W. Hanemann, L.L. Dale and J.A. Dracup, 2008: Climate change impacts on high elevation hydropower generation in California’s Sierra Nevada: a case study in the Upper American River. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S123-S137, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9365-x. (Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., and B.P. Bryant, 2008: Climate change and wildfire in California. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S231-S249, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9363-z.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., 2008: Climatology for Wildfire Management. Chapter 6 in Economics of Forest Disturbance: Wildfires, Storms, and Pests, Series: Forestry Sciences, 79. T.P. Holmes, J.P. Prestemon and K.L. Abt, Eds., XIV, 422p, Springer. ISBN: 978-1-4020-4369-7
(Click here for draft pdf file)
White, W.B., A. Gershunov and J.L. Annis, 2008:
Climatic influences on Midwest drought during the 20th century. Journal of Climate, 21, 517-531.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
2007
Dettinger, M.D., and S. Earman, 2007: Western Ground Water and Climate Change – Pivotal to Supply Sustainability or Vulnerable in Its Own Right? Association of Ground Water Scientists and Engineers Newsletter, June 2007, 4-5.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Florsheim, J., and M. Dettinger, 2007: Climate and floods still govern California levee breaks. Geophysical Research Letters, 34, doi:10,1029/2007GL031702,2007,L22403, 5p.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Littell, J. S., D. McKenzie, D. L. Peterson and A. L. Westerling, 2007: Climate and Wildfire Area Burned in Western U.S. Ecoprovinces, 1916-2003. Submitted to Ecological Applications.
(Click here for draft pdf file)
Malamud-Roam, F., M.D. Dettinger, B.L. Ingram, M. Hughes and J. Florsheim, 2007: Holocene climates and connections between between the San Francisco Bay estuary and its watershed – A Review. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 5(1), 28 p.
(Click here for the article)
Maurer, E.P., I.T. Stewart, C. Bonfils, P.B. Duffy and D. Cayan, 2007:Detection, attribution, and sensitivity of trends toward earlier streamflow in the Sierra Nevada. J. Geophysical Research, 112, D11118. doi:10.1029/2006JD008088.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Panorska, A.K., A. Gershunov and T.J. Kozubowski, 2007: From diversity to volatility: Probability of daily precipitation extremes. In: Nonlinear Dynamics in Geosciences, A. Tsonis and J. Elsner (eds.),Springer. 465-484, DOI: 10.1007/978-0-387-34918-3_26.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Preisler, H.K., and A.L. Westerling, 2007: Statistical Model for Forecasting Monthly Large Wildfire Events in the Western United States. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 46, 1020-1030.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Spracklen, D.V., J.A. Logan, L.J. Mickley, R.J. Park, R. Yevich, A.L. Westerling and D. Jaffe, 2007: Wildfires drive interannual variability of organic carbon aerosol in the western U.S. in summer: implications for trends. Geophysical Research Letters, submitted.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
2006
Alfaro, E.J., A. Gershunov and D. Cayan, 2006: Prediction of summer maximum and minimum temperature over the central and western United States: The role of soil moisture and sea surface temperature. J. Climate, 19(8), 1407-1421, doi: 10.1175/JCLI3665.1.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Bales, R.C., N.P. Molotch, T.H. Painter, M.D. Dettinger, R. Rice and J. Dozier, 2006: Mountain hydrology of the western United States. Water Resources Research,42, W08432, doi:10.1029/2005WR004387, 13
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Cayan, D., P. Bromirski, K. Hayhoe, M. Tyree, M. Dettinger and R. Flick,
2006: Projecting Future Sea Level. California Climate Change Center, publication #CEC-500-2005-202-SF,64 pages, March 2006.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Cayan, D., E. Maurer, M. Dettinger, M. Tyree, K. Hayhoe, C. Bonfils, P. Duffy and B. Santer, 2006: Climate Scenarios for California. California Climate Change Center, publication #CEC-500-2005-203-SF,52 pages, March 2006.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., 2006: A component-resampling approach for estimating probability distributions from small forecast ensembles. Climatic Change, 20p, doi:10.1007/s10584-005-9001-6.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Favre, A., and A. Gershunov, 2006: Extra-tropical cyclonic/anticyclonic activity in North-Eastern Pacific
and air temperature extremes in Western North America. Climate Dynamics, 26, 617-629, DOI 10.1007/s00382-005-0101-9.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Flint, A.L., and L.E. Flint, 2006: Modeling soil moisture processes and recharge under a melting snowpack. Proceedings, TOUGH Symposium, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California, May 15-17, 2006, 7pp.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Knowles, N., M.D. Dettinger and D.R. Cayan, 2006: Trends in Snowfall versus Rainfall in the Western United States. J. Climate, 19(18), 4545-4559.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Peterson, D., R. Smith and S. Hager, 2006: A walk through the hydorclimate network in Yosemite National Park: River Chemistry. Nature Notes, Yosemite Organization, 16pp.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Ralph, F.M., P.J. Neiman, G.A. Wick, S.I. Gutman, M.D. Dettinger, D.R. Cayan and A.B. White, 2006: Flooding on California’s Russian River: Role of atmospheric rivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L13801, 5pp, doi:10.1029/2006GL026689.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Snyder, M.A., L.M. Kueppers, L.C. Sloan, D. Cayan, J. Jin, H. Kanamaru, M. Kanamitsu, N.L. Miller, M. Tyree, H. Du and B. Weare, 2006: Regional Climate Effects of Irrigation and Urbanization in the western United States: A Model Intercomparison. CEC PIER Project Report CEC-500-2006-031, 43pp,
May 2006.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Steinemann, A., 2006: Using Climate Forecasts for Drought Management. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 45, 1353-1361.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Steinemann, A., and L. Cavalcanti, 2006: Developing Multiple Indicators and Triggers for Drought Plans. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 132, 164-174, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(2006)132:3(164).
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., H.G. Hidalgo, D.R. Cayan and T.W. Swetnam, 2006: Warming and Earlier Spring Increase Western U.S. Forest Wildfire Activity. Science, 313, 940-943.
(Click for personal-use pdf file)
2005
Alfaro, E., D.W. Pierce, A. Steinemann and A. Gershunov, 2005:
Relationships Between the Irrigation Pumping Electrical Loads and the Local Climate in Climate Division 9, Idaho. Journal of Applied Meteorology (Notes andCorrespondence), 44, 1972-1978.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Betancourt, J.L., M.D. Schwartz, D.D. Breshears, D.R. Cayan, M.D. Dettinger, D.W. Inouye, E. Post and B.C. Reed, 2005: Implementing a U.S. National Phenology Network. EOS, 86(51).
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Bromirski, P.D., D.R. Cayan and R.E. Flick, 2005: Wave spectral energy variability in the northeast Pacific. J. Geophys. Res., 110, C03005, doi:10.1029/2004/2004JC002398. (Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Burns, J.C., D.R. Cayan, G. Tong, E.V. Bainto, C.L. Turner, H. Shike, T. Kawasaki, Y. Nakamura, M. Yashiro and H. Yanagawa, 2005: Seasonality and Temporal Clustering of Kawasaki Syndrome. Epidemiology, 16(2), 220-225.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Cayan, D., M. Dettinger, I. Stewart and N. Knowles, 2005: Recent changes toward earlier springs — Early signs of climate warming in western North America. Watershed Management Council Networker, 13, Spring 2005,3-7.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., 2005: A long-term (50 yr) historical perspective on flood-generating winter storms in the American River basin. Proc. 2005 California Extreme Precipitation Symposium, 62-73.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., 2005: From climate-change spaghetti to climate-change distributions for 21st Century California. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 3(1).
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Florsheim, J., and M. Dettinger, 2005: Influence of anthropogenic alterations on geomorphic response to climate variations and change in San Francisco Bay-Delta and watershed. Watershed Management Council Networker, 13, Spring 2005,13-16.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Hanson, R.T., and M.D. Dettinger, 2005: Ground-water/surface-water responses to ensembles of global climate simulations, Santa Clara-Calleguas basin, Ventura County, California, 1950-93. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 41, 517-536.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Hidalgo, H.G., D.R. Cayan and M.D. Dettinger, 2005: Sources of variability of evapotranspiration in California. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 6, 3-19.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Lundquist, J.D., and M.D. Dettinger, 2005: How snowpack heterogeneity affects diurnal streamflow timing. Water Resources Research, 41, W05007, doi:10.1029/2004/WR003649, 14p.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Lundquist, J.D., M.D. Dettinger and D.R. Cayan, 2005: Snow-fed streamflow timing at different basin scales: Case study of the Tuolumne River above Hetch Hetchy, Yosemite, California. Water Resources Research, 41, W07005, doi:10.1029/2004/WR003933, 14p.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Peterson, D., R. Smith, S. Hager, J. Hecke, M. Dettinger and K. Huber, 2005: River Chemistry as a Monitor of Yosemite Park Mountain Hydroclimates.EOS, 86(31), 285,288.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Stewart, I.T., D.R. Cayan and M.D. Dettinger, 2005: Changes toward earlier streamflow timing across Western North America. Journal of Climate, 18, 1136-1155.
(Click for personal-use pdf file)
2004
Alfaro, A., A. Gershunov, D. Cayan, A. Steinemann, D. Pierce and T. Barnett, 2004: A Method for Prediction of California Summer Air Surface Temperature. EOS, 85(51), 553, 557-558.
(Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., K.T. Redmond and D.R. Cayan, 2004: Winter orographic-precipitation ratios in the Sierra Nevada – Large-scale atmospheric circulations and hydrologic consequences. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 5, 1102-1116.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Dettinger,M.D., D.R. Cayan, M.K. Meyer, and A.E. Jeton, 2004: Simulated hydrologic responses to climate variations and change in the Merced, Carson, and American River basins, Sierra Nevada, California, 1900-2099. Climatic Change, 62, 283-317.
http://tenaya.ucsd.edu/~dettinge/sierra_change.pdf
Gershunov, A., and R. Roca, 2004: Coupling of latent heat flux and the greenhouse effect by large-scale tropical/subtropical dynamics diagnosed in a set of observations and model simulations. Climate Dynamics, 22, 205-222, DOI 10.1007/s00382-003-0376-7.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Hanson, R.T., Newhouse, M.W., and Dettinger, M.D., 2004: A methodology to assess relations
between climatic variability and variations in hydrologic time series in the southwestern United States. Journal of Hydrology, 287, 252-269.
(Click here for pdf file)
Hayhoe K., D. Cayan, C.B. Field, P.C. Frumhoff, E.P. Maurer, N.L. Miller, S.C. Moser, S.H. Schneider, K.N. Cahill, E.E. Cleland, L. Dale, R. Drapek, R.M. Hanemann, L.S. Kalkstein, J. Lenihan, C.K. Lunch, R.P. Neilson, S.C. Sheridan and J.H. Verville, 2004: Emissions pathways, climate change, and impacts on California. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2004 Aug 24;101(34):12422-7. Epub 2004 Aug 16.
(Click here for pdf file)
Knowles, N., and D.R. Cayan, 2004: Elevational dependence of projected hydrologic changes in the San Francisco estuary and watershed. Climatic Change, 62, 319-336.
http://tenaya.ucsd.edu/~dettinge/noah_cc.pdf
Lundquist, J.D., 2004: When is the best time to cross a mountain stream? Understanding daily variations in streamflow. Nature Notes, 4, June 2004, Yosemite Association.
(Click here for article)
Lundquist, J.D., D.R. Cayan and M.D. Dettinger, 2004: Spring onset in the Sierra Nevada — When is snowmelt independent of elevation? Journal of Hydrometeorology, 5, 325-340.
(Click here for pdf file)
Pagano, T., P. Pasteris, M. Dettinger, D. Cayan and K. Redmond, 2004: Spring 2004 — Western water managers feel the heat. EOS, 85, 385, 392-393.
(Click here for pdf file)
Reisen, W., H. Lothrop, R. Chiles, M. Madon, C. Cossen, L. Woods, S. Husted, V. Kramer,and J. Edma, 2004: West Nile virus in California. Emerg Infect Dis [serial on the Internet], Available from:
http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/EID/vol10no8/04-0077.htm
Shachat, .J., and A.L. Westerling 2004: Information Aggregation in Catastrophe Reinsurance Markets. Economics Working Paper Archive, Experimental Series #0403002, Washington University Economics Department.
(Click here for pdf file)
Simpson, J.J., M.D. Dettinger, F. Gerhke, T.J. McIntire and G.I. Hufford, 2004: Hydrologic scales, cluod variability, remote sensing and models — Implications for forecasting snowmelt and streamflow. Weather and Forecasting, 19, 251-276.
(Click here for pdf file)
Stewart, I.T., D.R. Cayan and M.D. Dettinger, 2004: Changes in snowmelt runoff timing in western North America under a ‘Business as Usual’ climate change scenario. Climatic Change, 62, 217-232.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., D.R. Cayan, T.J. Brown, B.L. Hall and L.G. Riddle 2004: Climate, Santa Ana Winds and Autumn Wildfires in Southern California. EOS, 85(31), 289,296.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
White, W.B., A. Gershunov, J.L. Annis, G. McKeon and J. Syktus, 2004: Forecasting Australian drought using southern hemisphere modes of sea surface temperature variability. International Journal of Climatology, 24, 1911-1927.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
2003
Bromirski, P., R.E. Flick and D.R. Cayan, 2003: Storminess Variability Along the California Coast: 1858-2000. J. Climate, 16(6), 982-993.
Brown, T.J., B.L. Hall, A.L. Westerling, 2003: The impact of twenty-first century climate change on wildland fire danger in the western United States, an applications perspective. Climatic Change, 62, 365-388.
(Click here for pdf file)
Cayan, D.R., M.D. Dettinger, K.T. Redmond, G.J. McCabe, N. Knowles and D.H. Peterson, D.H., 2003: The transboundary setting of California’s water and hydropower systems — Linkages between the Sierra Nevada, Columbia River, and Colorado River hydroclimates: Chapter 11 in Diaz, H.F. and B. Woodhouse (eds.), Climate and Water – Transboundary challenges in the Americas, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Advances in Global Change Research, 16, 237-262.
(Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D. and D.R. Cayan, 2003: Interseasonal covariability of Sierra Nevada streamflow and San Francisco Bay salinity. Journal of Hydrology, 277(3/4), 164-181.
(Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., W.A. Bennett, D.R. Cayan, J. Florsheim, M. Hughes, B.L. Ingram, A. Jassby, N. Knowles, F. Malamud, D.H. Peterson, K. Redmond, and L. Smith,2003: Climate science issues and needs of the CALFED Bay-Delta Program: American Meteorological Society, 83rd Annual Meeting, Impacts of Water Availability Symposium, Long Beach, CA, Feb 9-13, 2003.
(Click here for pdf file)
Georgakakos, K.P., 2003: Probabilistic climate model diagnostics for hydrologic and water resources impact studies. J Hydrometeorology, 4(1):92-105.
Gershunov, A., and D.R. Cayan, 2003: Heavy daily precipitation frequency over the contiguous U.S.: Sources of climatic variability and seasonal predictability. Journal of Climate, 16, 2752-2765.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Koczot, K.M., and M.D. Dettinger, 2003: Climate effects of Pacific Decadal Oscillation on streamflow of the Feather River, California. Proceedings,Western Snow Conference, 4p.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Lewis, J.M., D. Koracin and K. Redmond, 2003: Sea fog off the California Coast: Historical perspective and climatology. Preprint, 12th Conference on Interactions of the Sea and Atmosphere, American Meteorological Society, 83rd Annual Meeting, Feb 9-13, 2003, Long Beach CA.
Lundquist, J.D., D.R. Cayan and M.D. Dettinger, 2003:
Meteorology and hydrology in Yosemite National Park: A Sensor Network Application. In Information Processing in Sensor Networks, F. Zhao and L. Guibas (eds.): IPSN 2003, LNCS 2634, 518-528.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Lundquist, J.D., and M.D. Dettinger, 2003: Linking diurnal cycles in river flow to interannual variations in climate. American Meteorological Society, 83rd Annual Meeting, Global Change Symposium, Long Beach, CA, Feb. 2003.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
McCabe, G.J., Jr., M.D. Dettinger and D.R. Cayan, 2003: Hydroclimatologyof the 1950s Drought, in Betancourt, J., and H.F. Diaz (eds.), The 1950s Drought in the American Southwest–Hydrological, Ecological and Socioeconomic Impacts: University of Arizona Press.
Steinemann, A., 2003: Drought Indicators and Triggers: A Stochastic Approach to Evaluation. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 39(5), 1217-1233, doi:10.1111/j.1752-1688.2003.tb03704.x. (Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., and T.W. Swetnam 2003: Interannual to Decadal Drought and Wildfire in the Western United States. EOS, 84(49), 545,554-5.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., A. Gershunov and D.R. Cayan, 2003: Statistical Forecasts of the 2003 Western Wildfire Season Using Canonical Correlation Analysis. Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin, 12(1,2).
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., T.J. Brown, A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan and M.D. Dettinger, 2003: Climate and Wildfire in the Western United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 84(5), 595-604.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
2002
Brown, T.J., 2002: 2002 Seasonal Consensus Climate Forecast for Wildland Fire Management. Report prepared for Interagency Fire Management, CEFA Report 02-02,March 2002, 5 pp.
Brown, T.J., A. Barnston, J.O. Roads, R. Tinker, and K.E. Wolter, 2002: 2002 Seasonal Consensus Climate Forecasts for Wildland Fire Management. Experimental Long-Long Forecast Bulletin, Center for Land-Ocean-Atmosphere Studies, University of Maryland, March 2002.
Brown, T.J., B.L. Hall, and G.D. McCurdy, 2002: Quality Control of California Historical RAWS Data. Report prepared for the California Firescope Weather Working Group, CEFA Report 02-01, March 2002, 27 pp.
Cayan, D.R., M.K. Tyree and M.D. Dettinger, 2002: Climate linkages to female Culex Cx. tarsalis abundance in California. Proc., Annual Mosquito Vector Control Association of California Conference, Tenaya Lodge, CA, 10 pp.
(Click here for doc file)
Dettinger, M.D., D.R. Cayan, N. Knowles, A. Westerling and M.K. Tyree, 2002: Recent projections of 21st Century climate change and watershed responses in the Sierra Nevada, California. Proceedings, Sierra Nevada Science Symposium, North Tahoe, October 2002, 5 pp.
Dettinger, M.D., D.R. Cayan, and K.T. Redmond, 2002: United States streamflow probabilities and uncertainties based on anticipated El Niño, Water Year 2003. Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin, Autumn 2002, 11:4, 46-52.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Georgakakos, K.P., and A.A. Tsonis, 2002: Observing Extreme Variability in Nonlinear Systems. In Emergent Nature – Patterns, Growth and Scaling of the Sciences,M.M. Novak, ed., World Scientific Publishing Co., London, United Kingdom, 209-221.
Gershunov, A., 2002: Forecasting seasonal frequencies of heavy daily precipitation events. Proceedings of the Conference on Water Resources Planning and Management, Roanoke, Virginia, May 2002.
Knowles, N., and D.R. Cayan, 2002: Potential effects of global warming on the Sacramento/San Joaquin watershed and the San Francisco estuary. Geophysical Research Letters, 29(18), 1891.
Lundquist, J.D., 2002: Monitoring Snow from the Beach in San Diego:Automatic Snow Sensors in the Sierra. Nature Notes, 2, February 2002,Yosemite Association.
(Click here for article)
Lundquist, J.D., and D.R. Cayan, 2002: Seasonal and spatial patterns in diurnal cycles in streamflow in the western United States. J Hydrometeorology, 3(5), 591-603.
McCabe,G.J., and M.D. Dettinger, 2002: Primary modes and predictability of year-to-year snowpack variations in the western United States from teleconnections with Pacific Ocean climate. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 3, 13-25.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Redmond, K.T., D.W. Stahle, M.D. Therrell, D.R. Cayan, and M.D. Dettinger, 2002: 400 Years of California Central Valley precipitation reconstructed from blue oaks.Preprint, 13th AMS Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, Orlando FL,January 2002, pp. 20-23.
Westerling, A.L., A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan and T.P. Barnett, 2002: Long lead statistical forecasts of western U.S. wildfire area burned. International J of Wildland Fire, 11(3,4), 257-266.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
2001
Biondi, F., A. Gershunov, and D.R. Cayan, 2001: North Pacific Decadal Climate Variability Since 1661. Journal of Climate, Letters, 14(1), 5-10.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Brown, T.J. and B.L. Hall, 2001: Climate and Ecosystem Studies and Product Development for Wildland Fire and Resource Management, Annual Report prepared for Bureau of Land Management, CEFA Report 01-04, November 2001, 13 pp.
Brown, T.J. and B.L. Hall, 2001: Assessing long-term fire danger variability and change from climate model output. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology, November 2001, 217-219.
Brown, T.J., 2001: Program for Climate, Ecosystem and Fire Applications. Proceedings 2001 Fire and Climate Workshops, University of Arizona, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth, Climate Assessment for the Southwest, 44-47.
Brown, T.J., 2001: Fire Forecasts for 2001. Proceedings 2001 Fire and Climate Workshops, University of Arizona, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth, Climate Assessment for the Southwest, 12-14.
Brown, T.J., 2001: Climate and Fire: Framing the Issues in Context of the 2000 Fire Season. Proceedings 2001 Fire and Climate Workshops, University of Arizona, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth, Climate Assessment for the Southwest, 3-7.
Brown, T.J. and B.L. Hall, 2001: Climate Analysis of the 2000 Fire Season. CEFA Report 01-02, 37 pp.
Carpenter, T.M., and K.P. Georgakakos, 2001: Assessment of Folsom Lake Response to Historical and Potential Future Climate Scenarios: 1. Forecasting, J. of Hydrology, 249(1-4), 148-175.
Cayan, D.R., M.D. Dettinger, R. Hanson, T. Brown and A. Westerling, 2001: Investigation of Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources in the California Region, Department of Energy Accelerated Climate Prediction Initiative (ACPI) Progress Report,1/19/01, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, U.S. Geological Survey, Desert Research Institute, 26 pp.
Cayan, D.R., M.D. Dettinger, J.M. Caprio, S.A. Kammerdiener and D.H. Peterson, 2001: Reply to “Comments on ‘Changes in the Onset of Spring in the Western United States'” by D. Lilly: Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 82, 2265-2266.
Cayan, D.R., S.A. Kammerdiener, M.D. Dettinger, J.M. Caprio, and D.H. Peterson,2001: Changes in the Onset of Spring in the Western United States. Bull. Am. Met.Soc., 82, 399-415.(Click here for pdf file)
Clark, M.P., L.E. Hay, J. Pitlick, A. Ray, D.R. Cayan, M.D. Dettinger, and G.H. Leavesley, 2001: Development of short-term streamflow forecasts for specific management applications: case study of flow augmentation requirements for the maintenance of endangered fish habitat (abstract). American Meteorological Society, 12th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, January 2001, Albuquerque, NM.
Dettinger, M.D., 2001: Droughts, epic droughts and droughty centuries — Lessons from Californias paleoclimatic record. Interagency Ecological Studies Program the San Francisco Estuary Newsletter, Summer 2001, 51-53. (Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., 2001: Hydrometeorological aspects of the New Years 1997 Flood in Yosemite Valley, California-Lessons for forecastability and global change. 26th Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, La Jolla, CA.
Dettinger,M., Cayan, D., and Knowles, N., 2001: Floods, droughts, and planning for San Francisco Bay–A Sierra Nevada perspective: 5th Biennial State of the Estuary Conference, San Francisco, Oct. 2001.
Dettinger, M.D., 2001: Hydrometeorological aspects of the New Years 1997 Flood in Yosemite Valley, California-Lessons for global change. NCAR/ACACIA Extreme Precipitation Workshop, March 2001. (Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Dettinger,M.D., 2001: Hydrometeorological aspects of the New Years 1997 Flood in Yosemite Valley, California-Lessons for global change. San Francisco Bay/Delta Modeling Forum, Pacific Grove, February 2001.
Georgakakos, K.P., and R. Krzysztofowicz, (eds.) 2001: Probabilistic and Ensemble Forecasting. Special Issue of J Hydrology, 249, 196pp.
Georgakakos, K.P., and D.E. Smith, 2001: Soil Moisture Tendencies into the Next Century for the Conterminous United States. J Geophysical Research – Atmospheres,106 (D21), 27367-27382.
Gershunov, A., 2001: Seasonal forecasting of non-traditional weather statistics.Climate Report, 2 (2), 13-18.
Gershunov, A., N. Schneider and T. Barnett, 2001:
Low frequency modulation of the ENSO-Indian monsoon rainfall relationship: Signal or noise. Journal of Climate, 14, 2486-2492.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Hall, B.L., and T.J. Brown, 2001: Development of lightning climatology information over the western U.S. Report prepared for Bureau of Land Management, CEFA Report 01-03, October 2001, 4 pp.
Hall, B.L., and T.J. Brown, 2001: Development of lightning climatology information over the western U.S. Proceedings American Meteorological Society
Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology, November 2001, 112-114.
Knowles, N.,Cayan, D.R., Dettinger, M.D., and Peterson, D.H., 2001: Decadal variability in San Francisco Estuary –Natural and human causes. Eighteenth Annual PACLIM Workshop, Pacific Grove, March 2001.
Nemani, R.R., M.A. White, D.R. Cayan, G.V. Jones, S.W. Running and J.C. Coughlan, 2001: Asymmetric climatic warming over coastal California and its impact on the premium wine industry. Climate Research, 19, 25-34.
Redmond, K.T., and D.R. Cayan, 2001: Western U.S. inversions and the link to Pacific climate variability. Preprint, 12th AMS Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, Albuquerque NM, January 2001, pp. 289-292.
Redmond, K.T., D.W. Stahle, M.D. Therrell, D.R. Cayan and M.D. Dettinger, 2001: Spatial analysis of tree ring chronologies from California’s blue oaks: Proceedings, Eighteenth Annual Pacific Climate (PACLIM) Workshop, Pacific Grove,
CA.
Roads, J.O.,Fujioka, F.M., and T.J. Brown, 2001: Development of a seasonal fire severity forecast for the contiguous U.S.: forecast and validation. American Met Soc Fire and Forest Meteorology Symposium, November 2001, 56-59.
Schlobohm, P.M. and T.J. Brown, 2001: Fire danger and the standardized precipitation index. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology, November 2001, 220-222.
Stahle, D.W., M.D. Therrell, M.K. Cleaveland, D.R. Cayan, M.D. Dettinger and N. Knowles, 2001: Ancient blue oaks reveal human impact on San Francisco Bay salinity. EOS, 82(141), 144-145. (Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., A. Gershunov and D.R. Cayan, 2001: Statistical Forecasts of Western Wildfire Season Severity. Proceedings of the 4th Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology, Reno, Nevada, November 2001, 202-205.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., D.R. Cayan, A. Gershunov, M.D. Dettinger and T.Brown, 2001: Statistical forecast of the 2001 western wildfire season using principal components regression. Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin, Center for Land-Ocean-Atmosphere Studies, 10(1), 71-75.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., N. Knowles, D.R. Cayan and M.D. Dettinger, 2001: Modeling Sierra Nevada wildfire season severity and suppression costs under a climate change scenario. EOS, 82(47), Fall Meeting Suppl.,
Abstract GC31A-0203.
Westerling,
A. L., 2001: Climate variability and large storm surge on the Pacific Coast of the United States. In Proceedings of the American Meteorological Society Symposium on Climate Variability, the Oceans and Societal Impacts,Albuquerque, New Mexico, 2000.
Westerling,
A. L., A. Gershunov, D. R. Cayan, and T. J. Brown, 2001: A Western United States fire climatology. In Proceedings of the American Meteorological Society Symposium on Climate Variability, the Oceans and Societal Impacts,Albuquerque, New Mexico, 2000.
Yao, H., and A.P. Georgakakos, 2001: Assessment of Folsom Lake Response to Historical and Potential Future Climate Scenarios: 2. Reservoir Management. J. of Hydrology, 249, 176-196.
2000
Cayan, D.R., 2000: Hydroclimatology of California floods and droughts (abstract). CALFED Science Conference, Sacramento, October 2000.
Dettinger, M.D., 2000: Assessment and applications of medium- to long-range climate forecasts for prediction of California rivers and aquifers (abstract).CIRES Western Water Initiative seminar, University of Colorado, Boulder CO.
Dettinger, M.D., 2000: Sierra Nevada runoff into San Francisco Bay–Why has it come earlier recently? (abstract). CALFED Science Conference, Sacramento,October 2000.
Dettinger, M.D., and D.R. Cayan, 2000: The Pacific Decadal Oscillation and flood frequencies in the United States. Geological Society of America Annual Meeting Abstracts with Programs, Reno, NV, 32(7), A460.
Dettinger, M.D., D.R. Cayan, G.J. McCabe, and K.T. Redmond, 2000: Winter-spring 2001 United States streamflow probabilities based on anticipated neutral ENSO conditions and recent NPO status. September 2000 Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin, Center for Land-Ocean-Atmosphere Studies, 9(3), 55-60.
Gershunov, A., and T.P. Barnett, 2000: Floods or drought in California in the next 20 years? San Diego Union Tribune, October 25 issue, F4.
Gershunov, A., T.P. Barnett, D.R. Cayan, A. Tubbs and L. Goddard, 2000: Predicting ENSO Impacts on Intraseasonal Precipitation Statistics in California: the 1997-1998 Event. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 1(6), 201-210.
(Click here for personal-use pdf file)
Hall, B., T. Brown and J. Roads, 2000: Utilization of Scripps ECPC Forecasts for Regional Monthly Assessments. Proceedings AMS Fireweather Conference. Long Beach, CA.
Knowles, N., 2000: Modeling the Hydroclimate of the San Francisco Bay-Delta Estuary and Watershed. PhD Thesis, Scripps Institution of Oceanography. La Jolla, CA, University of California, San Diego.
Pandey, G.R., D.R. Cayan, M.D. Dettinger and K. P. Georgakakos, 2000: A hybrid model for interpolating daily precipitation in the Sierra Nevada of California during winter. J. of Hydrometeorology, 1,
491-506.
(Click here for pdf file)
Westerling, A., A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan and T. J. Brown, 2000: A Western United States fire climatology. 12th Symposium on Global Change Studies, 81st American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, 157-159.
Wilby, R.L., and M.D. Dettinger, 2000: Streamflow changes in the Sierra Nevada, California, simulated using a statistically downscaled general circulation model scenario of climate change. In Linking Climate Change to Land Surface Change: Advances in GlobalChange Research, 6, S. McLaren and D. Kniveton (eds), Kluwer Academic Publishers, 99-121.
(Click here for pdf file)
1999
Cayan, D. R., D.H. Peterson and M. D. Dettinger, 1999: Regional scale variability in spring snowmelt runoff in the western United States. Abstract, EOS, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting supplement, 80.
Cayan, D.R., D.H. Peterson and M.D. Dettinger, 1999: Intraseasonal pulses of snowmelt runoff in the western US. NOAA Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, Tucson, AZ, November 1999.
Cayan, D.R., K.T. Redmond and L.G. Riddle, 1999: ENSO and Hydrologic Extremes in the Western United States. Journal of Climate, 12, 2881-2893.
Dettinger, M.D., 1999: Trends in the timing of streamflow in the conterminous United States since the 1940s (abstract). Sixteenth Annual PACLIM Workshop, May 1999.
Dettinger, M.D., D.R. Cayan and T.J. Brown, 1999: Intraseasonal lightning variations in the western United States. NOAA Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, Tucson, AZ, November 1999.
(Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., D.R. Cayan and K. T. Redmond, 1999: United States Streamflow Probabilities based on Forecasted La Nina, Winter-Spring 2000. Kirtman,B. (ed.), December 1999 Experimental Long-lead Forecast Bulletin, 8(4).
(Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., K.C. Mo, D.R. Cayan and A.E. Jeton, 1999: Global to local scale simulations of streamflow in the Merced, American, and Carson Rivers, Sierra Nevada, California. Preprints, American Meteorological Society’s 14th Conference on Hydrology, Dallas, January 1999, 80-82.
(Click here for pdf file)
Georgakakos, A.P., and K.P. Georgakakos, 1999: Issues Associated with the Use of GCM Forecast information for the Operational Management of Multipurpose Reservoirs. AWRA Specialty Conference on Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change to Water Resources of the United States, May 10-12, 1999, Atlanta, Georgia.
Georgakakos, A.P., H. Yao and K.P. Georgakakos, 1999: Vulnerability of River basin Management to Climate Variability and Change. AWRA Specialty Conference on Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change to Water Resources of the United States, May 10-12, 1999, Atlanta, Georgia.
Gershunov, A., T.P. Barnett, D.R. Cayan, A. Tubbs and L. Goddard, 1999: Predicting the 1997-98 El Niño’s effect on California precipitation: comparison of statistical, dynamical and hybrid models. Proceedings of the 24th Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, American Meteorological Society, 29-32.
Gershunov, A., T.P. Barnett and D.R. Cayan, 1999: North Pacific interdecadal oscillation seen as factor in ENSO-related North American climate anomalies. EOS, 80(3), 25-30.
(Click here for more information about this article)
McCabe, G.J. and M.D. Dettinger, 1999: Decadal Variations in the Strength of ENSO Teleconnections with Precipitation in the Western United States. Int. J. Climatol. 19, 1399-1410.
(Click here for pdf file)
Pandey, G.R., D.R. Cayan and K. P. Georgakakos, 1999: Precipitation Structure in the Sierra Nevada of California during Winter. J. Geophys. Res., 104, D10, 12019-12030.